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ByteTrail · AI and developer-tools intelligence
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Fields · this week
All fields2283Multimodal460AI agents431Frontier LLMs284Inference & serving203Teacher policy distillation182Medical image segmentation131Physics informed neural109Supervised & diffusion models98Voice AI43Forecasting time40Machine learned interatomic38Electrocardiogram ecg38Remote sensing35Deepfake detection32Federated learning30All 25 fields

Open problems across fields

  • Interface lock-in in multimodal spatial reasoning1 paper raises it · 1 addresses it

    Specializing a model on one spatial task (e.g., side detection) degrades performance on others (e.g., distance estimation), limiting general spatial intelligence.

    • ChronoReplay: One Answer Interface Is Not Enough for Streaming Spatial Intelligenceraises · addresses
  • Lack of unified evaluation for work agents1 paper raises it · 1 addresses it

    Existing benchmarks fail to measure reliable work execution across tools, workflows, and open environments, hindering progress in agent systems.

    • Work Agents: Systems, Capabilities, and Optimizationraises · addresses
  • Memory tax in long-horizon agents1 paper raises it · 1 addresses it

    Dedicated memory systems often underperform naive retrieval, as reorganizing information can obscure evidence and reduce net value.

    • Memory Tax: Dissecting the Net Value of Agent Memoryraises · addresses
  • Credit assignment in diffusion language models1 paper raises it · 2 address it

    Iterative denoising in DLMs makes it hard to attribute rewards to individual tokens, limiting reinforcement learning effectiveness.

    • DTCA: Denoising Token Credit Assignment for Reinforcement Learning in Diffusion Language Modelsraises · addresses
    • Multiscale Policy Optimization for Long-Horizon LLM Agentsaddresses
  • Grounded significance testing for temporal hypotheses1 paper raises it · 1 addresses it

    Language models assert temporal patterns without rigorous statistical validation, risking incorrect conclusions in high-stakes domains like healthcare.

    • Testimony from Timelines: Evidence-Grounded Significance Testing of Temporal Clinical Hypothesesraises · addresses

Named by an AI from these papers' abstracts.

Rising research topics

  • AI tutors17+41.7%
  • Character recognition OCR12+20.0%
  • Channel state information14+7.7%
  • Electrocardiogram ecg380.0%
  • Supervised & diffusion models98−13.3%
  • Machine learned interatomic38−15.6%
  • Stochastic gradient descent26−21.2%
  • Teacher policy distillation182−23.8%

Papers

  • arXiv cs.LGOct 7

    Activation-Aware Weight Tensorization: A Calibration-Time Preconditioner for Tensor-Network LLM Compression

    Alessandro Beatini, Marco Maronese, Emanuele Rodolà

    Post-training tensor-network compression replaces Transformer linear layers with Tensor Train (TT) or Tree Tensor Network (TTN) operators, but standard decompositions minimize weight-space Frobenius error rather than functional error under the layer's activation distribution. We propose Activation-aware Weight Tensorization (AWT), a training-free calibration wrapper that preconditions each weight matrix with a diagonal activation-derived scale before an unchanged TT/TTN solver and deploys the result with only an input-side elementwise rescaling. Across Llama 3.1 8B, Ministral 8B, and Qwen2.5 7B, AWT consistently improves vanilla TT/TTN tensorization at 2-6 times compression: under single-operator replacement, AWT closes 12-35% of the WikiText perplexity gap to the dense baseline across the three model families and 2-6 times compression settings; while under multi-operator Llama suffix replacement it closes 27-60% across attention-group and all-seven-matrix settings. The gains also transfer to downstream HellaSwag and ARC-Challenge evaluations. We further show that diagonal preconditioning is a robustness-modularity tradeoff rather than a diagonal-covariance assumption: a dense…

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  • arXiv math.STOct 7

    Sharp Asymptotic Theory of Maximum Likelihood Estimation for Gaussian Processes with an RBF Kernel

    Ameer Qaqish, Sudipto Banerjee, Didong Li

    Gaussian processes (GPs) are widely used across machine learning, spatial statistics, time-series analysis, optimization, Bayesian statistics, and scientific applications. A central component of a GP model is its kernel, which is typically specified through a parametric family. Among the most widely used choices is the radial basis function (RBF), also known as the squared exponential or Gaussian kernel, owing to its simple form, smoothness, and flexibility. In practice, the kernel parameters are routinely estimated by the maximum likelihood estimators (MLEs), as implemented by standard GP software. Despite this widespread use, the asymptotic behavior of the MLEs remains poorly understood under fixed-domain asymptotics, even for the RBF kernel. The main difficulty arises from the increasingly strong dependence among densely sampled observations and the nonlinear dependence of the covariance matrix on the kernel parameters. In this paper, we address this gap by providing, to the best of our knowledge, the first complete asymptotic characterization of the joint MLE of the spatial variance, lengthscale, and nugget variance under fixed-domain asymptotics. We establish consistency,…

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  • arXiv stat.MLOct 7

    Towards Calibrated Probabilistic Forecasts for Events of Interest via Outcome-Conditional Recalibration

    Jakob Benjamin Wessel, Sam Allen

    Calibration is an essential requirement for probabilistic predictions to be useful for decision making. While state-of-the-art prediction methods often yield miscalibrated predictive distributions, several post-hoc recalibration schemes have been proposed to generate calibrated predictions. However, popular recalibration schemes can conceal miscalibration in specific regions of the outcome space. Since particular outcomes, such as extreme events, often matter most for decision making, probabilistic predictions should be calibrated when evaluation is restricted to these outcomes. Hence, in this paper, we introduce outcome-conditional recalibration, a post-hoc method to recalibrate probabilistic predictions on user-defined regions of the outcome space. The method is simple, easy to implement, and can be applied to arbitrary predictive distributions. It works by applying the quantile recalibration approach of Kuleshov et al. (2018) to forecast conditional distributions, before rescaling these conditional distributions so that forecast event probabilities match empirical occurrence frequencies. This produces valid and continuous predictive distributions that are calibrated within…

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  • arXiv cs.AIOct 7

    HGP:An on-device personalized agent memory via hybrid graph storage

    Ran Zhou, Xueming Han, Jiaheng Liu, Yuyao Zhang, Fanyu Meng +2

    LLM-based agents face challenges in personalized interactive tasks due to heterogeneous, multi-typed, and implicitly constrained long-term traces. Existing memory mechanisms struggle with accurate routing and retrieval, especially on-device where personalization is critical. Most methods use single-vector representations, blurring type distinctions and relational structure. We propose HGP, a hybrid graph memory framework. HGP employs a lightweight self-enhancement classifier for personalized memory routing and constructs episodic, semantic, and procedural memories as graphs. It also extracts working memory as a state trajectory to capture current state and implicit constraints, ensuring reliable decision-making. The classifier reduces large-model calls, enabling on-device deployment, while graph storage enables accurate retrieval and incremental user profile refinement. Experiments on two benchmarks show that on PAL-Set solution selection, HGP achieves an S-score of 35.58, nearly 7 points above the strongest baseline. Code and data are at https://github.com/Ouan6/HGP-.git.

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  • arXiv cs.LGOct 7

    Efficient Provably Private Classification with a Tabular Foundation Model

    Talal Alrawajfeh, Cristiana Diaconu, Ossi Räisä, Sebastian Rodriguez Beltran, Yuan He +3

    Tabular data underpin prediction and decision-making in medicine, finance, government and science, but often contain sensitive individual-level information, creating a need for accurate prediction while preserving privacy. Traditional private learning provides formal privacy guarantees, but requires slow dataset-specific optimisation, suffers substantial utility loss under strong privacy, and is often difficult to apply correctly. Tabular foundation models adapt rapidly to new datasets, but existing models lack formal privacy guarantees, and are highly vulnerable to membership-inference attacks, limiting their use on sensitive data. Here we introduce PrivTab, an easy to use tabular foundation model for differentially private classification that embeds a privacy mechanism within its architecture. Pretrained on simulated datasets, PrivTab uses in-context learning to transform sensitive rows into compact, provably private summaries---effectively learning how to learn under privacy. PrivTab outperforms private linear and neural-network baselines under moderate-to-strong privacy, shows negligible membership leakage, maintains well-calibrated predictions under strong privacy, and…

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  • arXiv cs.CVOct 7

    From Pixel to Coding: Evaluating the Figure Reproduction Capabilities of MLLMs

    Zijian Chen, Zhengyu Chen, Bohan Liang, Lirong Deng, Yushuo Zheng +5

    Multimodal Large Language Models (MLLMs) have demonstrated impressive capabilities in both visual understanding and code generation. However, existing benchmarks typically evaluate these two modalities in isolation, lacking a dedicated assessment of their unification, i.e., how a model can perceive complex visual structures and synthesize them into precise, executable code. Moreover, current visual code generation benchmarks often rely on simplified layouts within single programming environments, falling short of evaluating true unified multimodal reasoning. To bridge this gap, we propose FigCodeBench, a comprehensive framework for rigorously evaluating MLLMs on figure reproduction, integrating multimodal comprehension and generation. We first design a systematic dataset construction pipeline, resulting in a total of 6,194 instances that cover 7 functional categories and 4 types of programming languages. We further categorize figure reproduction into three tiers with visual and code complexity modeling, specifically targeting complex structural reasoning, varying aspect ratios, and dense geometric constraints. We introduce a multi-dimensional evaluation protocol, encompassing…

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  • arXiv cs.CYOct 7

    Comprehension Audits to Mitigate Risks from Automated AI Research

    Ronald J. Bodkin, Bahrad A. Sokhansanj, Gillian K. Hadfield

    AI is already writing a majority of code for frontier AI labs. This creates a safety risk if there is insufficient human oversight. Existing work proposes minimum comprehension thresholds and unaided checks to mitigate this. To our knowledge, however, there is currently no published frontier-AI assurance regime that requires demonstrated evidence that the responsible humans understand what they are building as a precommitted condition for continuing development or usage. We propose comprehension audits, a novel development-process assurance mechanism in which the responsible people explain R&D contributions to auditors to demonstrate understanding. With independent administration and graded reports, they provide a gate: development of a contribution stops based on a failure to demonstrate human understanding until remediated, with escalating consequences for repeated failures. Our analysis of leading open-source AI projects finds increased output of code with reduced human review commentary rates per line of code, with far lower rates for automated fleet accounts. We advocate for labs to conduct them with embedded independent auditors.

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  • arXiv cs.AIOct 7

    Loud Failures, Quiet Failures: Fault Detection and Recovery in Tool-Using Language Model Agents

    Obada Kraishan

    Tool-using agents are usually scored on whether they finish a task while the tools work. Deployments are less forgiving: services time out, endpoints disappear, parameter names change, and results come back well formed but wrong. Prior work has shown that language models over-trust tool outputs that fail silently; we ask how that over-trust plays out across the stages of failure handling in multi-turn agents. Wrapping the executable environments of an established function-calling benchmark in a fault-injection layer, we inject one of four typed faults at a controlled point in the trajectory and record whether the agent notices, changes plan, recovers the task, or repeats itself. Six models from three families, half of them reasoning variants, ran 1,920 trials over 24 multi-step tasks. Agents treat a failure as a problem in 91.3% of trials when the tool returns an explicit error, but in 58.8% of trials when it returns a plausible wrong value, against a 26.8% rate of reporting problems when nothing was wrong. Reasoning models are not better placed: paired against instruct siblings, they notice less (-9.3 points, p < .001) and change plan more (+10.4 points, p < .001), and recovery…

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  • arXiv cs.GROct 7

    TRACK: Telemetry-Based Racing Analysis and Coaching Kit in Sim Racing Games

    Efe Çangırılı, Murat Kurt

    This paper presents TRACK (Telemetry-Based Racing Analysis and Coaching Kit), which is a framework for analyzing driving performance in sim racing and profiling how individual drivers behave behind the wheel. We report this framework together with its limitations: we calibrate each clustering result against a null, and when one does not separate from chance, we say so. Instead of restricting ourselves to scoring drivers or sorting them into preset labels, we represent each recording session as a compact geometry in a four-dimensional behavioral space (speed, braking, strategy, and consistency), and we group these fingerprints by their similarity using unsupervised clustering. Over time, we have developed and refined this framework on the open Assetto Corsa Gym (ACGym) dataset. Our study suggests that corner types differ along a behavioral dimension that was not used to define them. It also suggests that when the car changes, only speed and consistency carry over in the restricted population, while repeatability could not be shown there for any of the braking or strategy measures. Cluster separation becomes less distinct as the range of available telemetry widens. Until that…

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  • arXiv cs.CLOct 7

    Cache the Encoder Within:Compact, Reusable Memory across LLM Queries

    Hanzuo Liu, Chunyu Liu, Chaofan Lin, Alex Lamb, Mingyu Gao

    Repeated queries over shared documents incur redundant encoding, while caching model states introduces persistent storage costs. Building on CoMem's intermediate-state interface, EncBank treats a pretrained LLM's lower layers as a reusable document encoder and compactly stores their outputs for an adapted upper-layer reader. A self-distilled suffix adapter is shared across storage precisions within each backbone, without quantization-specific retraining. Across five benchmark suites on three Qwen backbones spanning different sizes and full-attention and hybrid architectures, 4-bit storage keeps each reported benchmark aggregate within one score point of native-precision EncBank. In a fixed Qwen3-8B workload, it retains 28.1% of the native-precision persistent GPU store. Separate native-precision controls yield a 1.40x selected-pack prefill speedup over same-evidence, same-adapter text replay, at a 3.12-point RULER accuracy cost. A native-precision Qwen3.8-27B configuration also passes 70 of 89 Terminal-Bench 2.1 tasks. EncBank thus combines reusable computation with compact memory, while task fidelity and end-to-end benefits remain dependent on the workload, preparation costs,…

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  • arXiv cs.LGOct 7

    WxFM-XL: Adapting Univariate Foundation Models to Multi-Station Weather Forecasting

    Xiao Wang, Changjian Chen, Zhuo Tang, Rongwen Li, Hongwu Liu +1

    With the rise of univariate time series foundation models (e.g., Sundial, Timer), initial efforts have been made to extend them to multivariate settings. However, these models mainly focus on modeling correlations among variables. When they are applied to multi-station weather forecasting, two important factors are often overlooked: (1) the spatial information of stations, and (2) different error priors of different stations relative to the foundation model. In this paper, we propose WxFM-XL, a model for adapting univariate time series foundation models to multi-station weather forecasting. WxFM-XL introduces a cross-station error correlation prior graph to capture stationwise error priors with respect to the foundation model. Building on this, we further propose a dynamic fusion mechanism that adaptively integrates a spatial correlation graph with the error correlation prior graph. Experiments on multiple datasets demonstrate that our model outperforms state of the art baselines.

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  • arXiv eess.SYOct 7

    Transition Path Sampling Using Koopman Operators and Exit-Time Optimal Control

    Boya Hou, Shane Wang, Siddharth Ambekar, Maxim Raginsky, Olgica Milenkovic

    Sampling transitions between metastable states is a central problem in dynamical systems theory and molecular dynamics in particular. A key challenge is the existence of high free-energy barriers that separate the states, making transitions extremely rare. Recent machine learning-based methods cast transition path sampling (TPS) as an optimal stochastic control (OSC) problem over a fixed time horizon, and parameterize the drift bias via a neural network trained by simulation-in-the-loop, requiring repeated biased rollouts. To address computational and performance guarantee issues of these models, we propose a new approach for the problem based on Koopman operators. Because Koopman operators are linear, their leading eigenfunctions reveal the metastable sets and provide an estimate of the committor function with no transition path information required. Furthermore, we formulate TPS as an OSC problem up to an exit time. Our time horizon is the first hitting time of the target set, and our running cost penalizes time spent in nonreactive regions by encoding the estimated committor function. We derive the optimal controller in closed form and approximate it in a reproducing kernel…

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  • arXiv cs.SEOct 7

    Has LLM Screening Performance Stalled in Software Engineering Systematic Reviews?

    Aleksi Huotala, Miikka Kuutila, Mika Mäntylä

    Screening in systematic reviews (SRs) is manual and time-consuming. Prior work has explored large language models (LLMs) for automating this step, but LLMs are evolving rapidly, so earlier performance claims may no longer accurately reflect their screening performance. We used an existing software engineering SR screening benchmark (SESR-Eval) as our data. We also power-sampled a new, smaller dataset (SESR-Eval-Mini) that allows evaluation at lower costs. Using this data, we evaluated eight new LLMs for screening performance. Additionally, we tested different prompts, analyzed LLM agreement in screening decisions and criteria, and examined the effect of refining the inclusion and exclusion criteria on screening performance. The eight new LLMs performed marginally better than the seven old ones: avg. MCC across secondary studies rose from 0.347 to 0.365. Differences between secondary studies are still bigger than between LLMs. Computing the overall screening decision from criterion-level decisions degraded screening performance only slightly. LLMs generally agree with each other in their corresponding screening decisions (mean Gwet's AC1 = 0.830), though certain inclusion and…

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  • arXiv cs.CLOct 7

    The Long Road to the Same Answer: Cognitive Bias Under Escalating Reasoning Budgets in Large Language Models

    Obada Kraishan

    Reasoning models allocate extra computation at inference time and present their answers as the product of deliberate thought. If this deliberation works the way dual-process accounts of human cognition suggest, longer thinking should weaken the classic decision biases that fast, intuitive judgment produces. Using 30 vignettes covering six biases (anchoring, framing, loss aversion, escalation of commitment, availability, confirmation) from an established benchmark, we run a dose-response study across four model families, pairing each reasoning model with a matched non-reasoning sibling and requesting thinking ceilings of 0, 1,024, 4,096, and 8,192 tokens, for 12,350 API calls. Because a requested ceiling is not the same as realized deliberation, we use the reasoning tokens each call consumed as the dose. First, reasoning models are not less biased than their siblings; the point estimate leans the other way in every family, but the item-level pooled contrast is not reliable (Delta = +0.031, t(29) = 1.45, p = .157). Second, bias magnitude does not reliably fall as realized deliberation grows: no slope is significantly negative, and where anything moves it is the signed score…

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  • arXiv cs.CVOct 7▲ 21

    AdSpark: A Large-Scale Dataset and Benchmark for Product-Centric Advertisement Video Generation

    Zhifei Yang, Zhao Jiang, Keyang Lu, Honghe Zhu, Zheng Zhang +4

    Product-centric advertisement video generation aims to create promotional videos that preserve fine-grained product identity while presenting selling points through coherent multi-shot narratives. However, this emerging task remains underexplored due to the lack of large-scale advertisement-specific datasets and comprehensive evaluation frameworks. To address this gap, we introduce \textbf{AdSpark}, a large-scale dataset and benchmark for product-centric advertisement video generation, based on data from a major e-commerce platform. \textit{AdSpark-300K} contains approximately 300K reference image--prompt--video triplets, comprising a real-world subset and a synthetic subset. Each sample provides structured advertisement annotations, including product identity annotations, selling-point descriptions, creative plans, and aligned audio scripts, enabling models to learn product preservation and advertisement-oriented visual storytelling. We further propose \textit{AdSpark-Bench}, a diagnostic benchmark that evaluates generated advertisements across six dimensions, including visual quality, product fidelity, instruction adherence, temporal coherence, audio alignment, and…

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  • arXiv cs.AIOct 7

    Learning to Accumulate Knowledge with Mutual Information

    Yuyang Zhao, Lizi Liao, Leyang Shen, Xiaoyan Zhao, Yang Zhang +2

    Large language model (LLM) agents can improve their performance by reusing knowledge distilled from past interactions. However, curating new experiences into a knowledge bank that becomes more useful as it grows remains challenging. Effective knowledge accumulation should limit redundant overlap among entries and ensure that new knowledge contributes beyond what the bank already provides. Yet training a curator with Group Relative Policy Optimization (GRPO) on standalone task success can reinforce general guidance even when it duplicates existing knowledge. Therefore, we propose Knowledge Weaver, a reinforcement learning framework that trains a language model to curate reusable knowledge from agent trajectories. We couple feedback inspired by token-wise mutual information (MI) with marginal success rewards to guide knowledge accumulation. Together, these signals encourage the curator to preserve distinct information from experience and produce entries that improve task success when added to existing knowledge. Standalone success rewards also favor entries that are useful on their own. On ALFWorld and WebShop, Knowledge Weaver achieves mean success rates of 54.0\% and 42.0\% with…

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  • arXiv cs.CEOct 7

    Evolve on the Host, Predict on the Edge: Deploying Online Neuroevolutionary Architecture Search for Cross-sectional Stock Return Prediction

    Jonathan Chang, Zimeng Lyu

    Accurate forecasting models are usually large, expensive to update online, and fixed in architecture once trained. We apply ONE-NAS, an online neuroevolutionary architecture search that evolves a population of small recurrent networks as each window of data arrives, to daily cross-sectional stock return prediction, and pilot it on a host and endpoint pipeline: the host runs the search and ships each generation's champion genomes over TCP/IP to a Raspberry Pi 4B, which predicts online. On the Pi a single champion predicts a 50-stock window in 24.6~ms and the ensemble of 40 island champions in 556~ms, far inside the daily decision cycle. On four panels of US mid-cap equities over 2022--2024, reading the population as a rank-mean ensemble of island champions returns $+27.5\%$ net of realised transaction costs, against $+11.3$ to $+14.8\%$ for online LSTM, online GRU and monthly-retrained LSTM baselines and $+4.5\%$ for the single best genome used in prior ONE-NAS work.

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  • arXiv cs.LGOct 7

    Matching of signal, noise and hardware timescales for filtering and forecasting of correlated noise signals

    Joshua Donald, Alex Gabbitas, Arthur G. T. Coveney, Sergey Savel'ev, Pavel Borisov

    Physical reservoir computing exploits the nonlinear dynamics of physical systems to process time-dependent data with greater energy efficiency than conventional machine learning approaches. However, physical reservoirs have fixed intrinsic response timescales, whereas real-world signals combine deterministic and stochastic components across multiple timescales. Here we show, using a nanoporous niobium oxide reservoir, synthetic noisy signals and cryptocurrency-price volatility, that the relationship among noise correlation time, reservoir memory and forecast horizon determines whether correlated noise is filtered or predicted. Noise varying faster than the relevant reservoir memory and forecast horizon is averaged by the reservoir, whereas the temporal structure of slower-varying noise is sufficient for algorithmic forecasting. We introduce the reservoir memory horizon and forecasting regime index to distinguish these operating regimes. These contributions demonstrate that timescale matching can guide the encoding of input time series and development of physical reservoir architectures that filter, analyse and predict stochastic signal components across distinct temporal scales.

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  • arXiv stat.MLOct 7

    Gaussian Equivalence for Multi-Head Self-Attention

    Tomohiro Hayase, Ryo Karakida

    A theoretical understanding of multi-head self-attention is fundamental to the study of modern neural networks. Using random matrix theory, we establish Gaussian equivalence for multi-head self-attention: replacing softmax attention with rescaled scores plus Gaussian noise preserves the limiting spectral law of the centered output. This equivalence also covers value and output projections that depend on the keys. The resulting laws separate the effects of head allocation and projection widths, and distinguish spectrum-preserving across-head sharing from within-head key--value dependence.

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  • arXiv q-bio.NCOct 7

    Structure alone supports efficient visual computation in the Drosophila visual system

    Eudald Correig-Fraga, Roger Guimerà, Marta Sales-Pardo

    Understanding the extent to which measured synaptic wiring determines computation remains a central challenge. Here, we couple the proofread adult Drosophila melanogaster connectome to an anatomically faithful model of its eye. Visual information is inputted in the eye model, then passed to the connectome, and finally read from a Kenyon-cell-centered linear decoder. This creates a connectome-only model in which the anatomical graph and eye geometry are fixed and only scalar synaptic gains and neuronal thresholds may be learned. The model supports multitask vision, including color discrimination, shape classification, and numerical discrimination that follows a ratio-dependent scaling characteristic of approximate number perception. To test whether precise connectivity is consequential under wiring economy, we compare the biological graph to randomized ensembles that increasingly preserve biological synaptic constraints. At matched wiring cost, the biological network consistently yields higher accuracy, whereas less constrained rewiring surpasses it at the cost of inflated wiring. These findings indicate that the measured connectivity and eye geometry jointly set efficient…

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