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Fields · this week
All fields1799Multimodal302Frontier LLMs230Recursive self improvement201Inference & serving145Agents & indirect prompt injection138Robotics126Neural operators124Clinical reasoning114Forecasting time86Linear bandits59Voice AI55Character recognition OCR33Molecular property prediction29AI safety28Federated learning26All 23 fields

Rising research topics

  • Diffusion priors190.0%
  • Algorithmic fairness7−12.5%
  • Character recognition OCR33−13.2%
  • Voice AI55−17.9%
  • Channel state information13−23.5%
  • Quantum machine learning22−26.7%
  • Recursive self improvement201−37.8%
  • Forecasting time86−40.7%

Papers

  • arXiv cs.LGSep 21

    Taking a Second Look: Correcting Sea Ice Forecasts with Sparse Observations

    Tianshuo Zhang, Xianglei Xing, Aowen Yang, Jia Gao, Wenzhe Zhai +2

    Sea ice forecasts are issued several days ahead, allowing errors to accumulate while new, often sparse sea ice concentration (SIC) observations become available. We find that fixed-propagation errors concentrate near structured, high-gradient ice edges, whereas homogeneous interiors require limited propagation, suggesting that propagation distance should be state dependent. We therefore introduce ECHO (Evidence-guided Correction with Heterogeneous prOpagation), where ECHO-Scale adapts propagation distance while preserving correction geometry, and ECHO-Delta learns a bounded residual around fixed propagation. Across all 96 standard evaluation settings spanning diverse priors, observation times, sparsity levels, geometries, and noise conditions, both outperform fixed propagation. ECHO-Delta achieves the best average accuracy, while ECHO-Scale is more robust to geometry shifts. Code is available at https://github.com/yingtian22/TAKING-A-SECOND-LOOK.

    AI10PDF
  • arXiv cs.LGEvalsSep 21

    Overlay\_dx - Automating forecasting evaluation

    Long Ngo, Mohammed Amine Chamli, Jonathan Rivalan, Thomas Jaillon

    Traditional evaluation metrics provides numerical values but often lack comprehensibility, hindering effective differentiation of model performances. Our work addresses this challenge by introducing overlay\_dx, a novel evaluation metric measuring the performance of time series prediction models. Overlay\_dx is a visual metric that represents the percentage of predictions falling within a confidence interval around actual values. Additionally, once evaluation results are plotted, overlay\_dx computes the area under the overlay curve, providing a quantitative measure of alignment between predicted and actual values across different thresholds and predictions. Through extensive experiments, we demonstrate that our approach offers a unified evaluation framework that combines both visual and numerical assessments, enabling improved model comparison and providing valuable insights for further research and optimization efforts in time series prediction.

    AI50PDF
  • arXiv cs.LGSep 21

    Universal Multi-Modal Traceformer: Integrating Heterogeneous Context for Process Event Prediction

    Fabian Spaeh, Jingxing Fang, Shandian Zhe, Bin Shen

    Event logs arise in a wide range of real-world processes, capturing not only event activities and timestamps but also multi-modal contextual information. Existing event-sequence models, including many temporal point process approaches, primarily model event activities and timestamps while overlooking heterogeneous context, such as numerical measurements, categorical attributes, textual descriptions, and metadata associated with individual events and entire traces. In this paper, we propose Universal Multi-Modal Traceformer (UMT), a unified framework for incorporating heterogeneous process context into next-event prediction. Built on a Transformer backbone, UMT introduces a universal feature encoder that maps diverse feature types into a shared representation space and handles contextual information at both the event and trace levels. UMT further develops a per-event Perceiver module that dynamically weights contextual features and adaptively integrates them into event-token representations. To accommodate the heavy-tailed and potentially multi-modal distribution of inter-arrival times, UMT represents each interval at multiple temporal scales and jointly predicts the corresponding…

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  • arXiv cs.RORoboticsSep 21

    What do VLM-Based Vision-Language Navigation Models Rely on: Interpreting and Steering Policy Behavior

    Débora Oliveira Makowski, Samiran Gode, Abhijeet Nayak, Marco Hutter, Cordelia Schmid +2

    Modern Vision-Language Navigation (VLN) models rely mostly on pre-trained large Vision-Language Models (VLMs) to predict navigation actions. While this fusion of language instructions and visual observations allows multimodal reasoning, it obscures how information is routed across modalities or what mechanisms drive navigation decisions. Thus, it remains unclear whether VLN models ground their predictions in relevant semantic cues or can track task progress. In this work, we study the interpretability and steerability of VLN models. We use intervention-based metrics that measure how visual observations, instructions, and visual memory causally influence navigation decisions. Our results show that these navigation policies are sensitive to all input modalities and do not depend on a single one. We further show that these agents encode navigation progress and retain semantic structure from their VLM backbones, enabling concept-level steering through internal activations. Finally, we extract activation vectors for abstract behaviors to transfer them zero-shot to out-of-distribution real-world scenarios, improving performance without additional fine-tuning.

    AIMultimodalAI safety70PDF
  • arXiv cs.CLSep 21

    Evaluating Decision Models for Text Annotation in Computational Social Science

    Hazem Ibrahim, Yasir Zaki

    Computational social science increasingly relies on large language models for text annotation, and the validity of published findings now rests on the labels generated by such models. Decision models, a new model class built for categorical question answering, answer typed questions with a choice, a probability distribution over the label set, and a confidence score rather than free text, at a small fraction of frontier inference prices. Whether their answers are accurate, and whether that stated confidence can be trusted on social science constructs, are unknown. Here, we mirror the evaluation of Ziems et al. (2024) on 18 computational social science classification tasks (7,977 items), comparing the first commercial decision model and two open-weight counterparts against 19 frontier and open-weight language models under the same zero-shot protocol, and extending the decision-model comparison to eleven open-weight systems released in the week after it. The decision model trails the per-task best LLM on 14 of 15 evaluation tasks, with a median deficit of 11.6 macro-F1 points, at a median 44 times lower measured cost. Its confidence is better calibrated than the verbalized…

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  • arXiv cs.DSSep 21

    Poisson Exchange Beyond Submodularity: Effective Approximation Algorithms for Offline and Online Subset Selection over Matroids

    Shi Fu, Youming Qiao, Dacheng Tao, Zongqi Wan, Qixin Zhang

    Over the past decade, a growing body of research has shown that $γ$-weak submodularity broadly arises in numerous subset selection tasks, including feature selection, neural network pruning, and video summarization. Despite its prevalence, maximizing a $γ$-weakly submodular function subject to a general matroid constraint remains challenging. To date, the only known approximation guarantee is the conservative $(1+1/γ)^{-2}$ factor established by \citet{chen2018weakly}. To improve upon this result, this paper proposes a novel algorithm called \MGPE, which repeatedly performs maximum-gain local exchanges through careful control of a non-homogeneous Poisson clock, and proves that this \MGPE\ can attain an approximation ratio arbitrarily close to $ρ_γ=1-\left(γ/(2-γ)\right)^{ \frac{γ^2}{2(1-γ)} }$. In sharp contrast to the previous guarantee, our obtained factor $ρ_γ$ not only strictly improves upon $(1+1/γ)^{-2}$ for every $γ\in(0,1]$, but also can asymptotically approach the optimal $(1-1/e)$-approximation for submodular maximization as $γ\to1$. Furthermore, we surprisingly find that when the matroid constraint reduces to a cardinality or the objective satisfies the stronger notion…

    AI10PDF
  • arXiv cs.CVSep 21

    What Survives on Real Drawings: Active Sampling, Connectome Wiring, and Matched Baselines in Architectural Document Vision

    Dmitry Kuklev

    A connectome-constrained model of the fly visual system, optimized for motion and then frozen, can be driven over architectural drawings by prescribed motion and used as a texture representation. We compare it with information-matched baselines that see the same 721 photoreceptor samples. On clean synthetic data the frozen model transfers but loses to task training: 0.857 area-weighted accuracy in one-shot hatch matching versus 0.959 for a 5,888-parameter CNN, and 0.619 IoU in wall segmentation versus 0.905 for a matched network. Under scan noise and thickened strokes, the trained networks lose up to 0.188 accuracy while the frozen pipeline loses 0.030. On fourteen production sheets, opened once, a 1,876-parameter fly model reaches 0.505 average precision versus 0.415 for a network two hundred times larger. A preregistered held-out split confirms the clean-data ordering: 0.835 for the circuit, 0.894 for receptors only, and 0.971-0.980 for trained CNNs. Rewiring the connectome while preserving degrees or type pairs and transmitter signs costs 0.271-0.356 accuracy across three seeds, so the exact wiring is load-bearing. Yet the intact circuit does not beat its moving retina, and…

    AI20PDF
  • arXiv cs.AIAgentsSep 21

    EviGraph: Proof-Carrying Selective Recommendation over Temporal Public-Service Knowledge Graphs

    Yixi Zhou, Sikun Wang, Lei Fan, Fan Zhang

    Public-service recommendations require evidence that matches the requested service, scope, and date. Yet treating every missing detail as decisive can withhold useful recommendations. We introduce EviGraph, which distinguishes critical decision requirements from information that can remain unresolved. A language agent links these requirements to evidence in a temporal knowledge graph, while a deterministic checker establishes whether a recommendation is supported. Evaluation on a bilingual Hong Kong public-service benchmark with executable policy references shows that this distinction reduces unnecessary abstention. Additional verification, however, can withdraw supported recommendations without improving decision quality. These findings suggest that reliable evidence-based navigation depends on specifying what must be established for a decision, rather than simply adding more verification.

    AIRAG70PDF
  • arXiv cs.CVSep 21

    HyperCLIP++: Fine-tuning CLIP forOpen-vocabulary Semantic Segmentation in Hyperbolic Space

    Zelin Peng, Zhengqin Xu, Changsong Wen, Yu Huang, Yaoming Wang +2

    CLIP, a foundational vision-language model, has emerged as a powerful tool for open-vocabulary semantic segmentation. While freezing CLIP's text encoder is known to preserve its generalization capability, recent studies show that fine-tuning both CLIP's text and image encoders jointly significantly enhances segmentation performance, especially for classes from open sets. In this work, we explain this phenomenon from the perspective of hierarchy alignment, since during fine-tuning, the hierarchical level of image embeddings shifts from image-level to pixel-level. We achieve this by leveraging hyperbolic space, which naturally encodes hierarchical structures. Our key observation is that, during fine-tuning, the hyperbolic radius of CLIP's text embeddings decreases, facilitating better alignment with the pixel-level granularity of visual data. Building on this, we propose HyperCLIP++, a novel and parameter-efficient adaptation strategy. HyperCLIP++ directly adjusts the hyperbolic radius of CLIP's embeddings via scaling transformations to achieve a hierarchy alignment to the target task, i.e., segmentation. To ensure this hierarchy alignment is effected consistently across both…

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  • arXiv cs.CLSep 21

    Less Uniform Discrete Diffusion is More Powerful and Scalable

    Kaibo Wang, Ding Ding, Fangyu Ding, Zijin Feng, Han Shi +3

    Although uniform diffusion language models (UDLMs) represent a promising diffusion paradigm, scaling them remains challenging. We identify the core obstacle as an over-uniform training objective and condition-target confusion during sampling. To address these, we propose Less Uniform Diffusion (LUDI), a novel UDLM framework. Specifically, we (i) introduce a less uniform loss that directs each reverse transition toward the clean token, and (ii) equip the model with per-token time embeddings that supply token-level corruption hints, enabling confidence-based few-step sampling. Experiments across scales show that LUDI yields cleaner supervision and improves few-step generation. We further continue-train a 7B autoregressive model into LUDI-7B, resulting in a UDLM capable of complex reasoning. It achieves a 3-token-per-step speedup over AR decoding and competitive performance compared with masked diffusion baselines, revealing that the full potential of UDLMs for complex generation remains to be unlocked.

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  • arXiv cs.CVSep 21

    Evaluating Transformation Models for pCLE Mosaic Registration

    Ahmed Aboelela, Johannes Barcsay, Jana Friedhof, Miguel Gonçalves, Alexander Hann +1

    Confocal Laser Endomicroscopy (CLE) provides real-time, cellular-resolution optical biopsy but has a narrow field of view, which image mosaicing can extend to provide anatomical context. Because of line-by-line acquisition, probe motion, and probe-tissue interaction, frame alignment generally requires a non-linear transformation whose accuracy is difficult to quantify: flexible transformation models can fit intensity features and noise, so appearance-based metrics such as Normalized Cross-Correlation (NCC) can improve without a genuine gain in geometric accuracy. We therefore establish a dataset of 132 frame pairs across fourteen pCLE sequences from 4 patients with manually annotated landmark correspondences, so that Target Registration Error (TRE) can serve as a geometrically grounded complement to NCC. We assess the effect of progressively increasing the transformation model's degrees of freedom, from translation to Thin Plate Spline (TPS), and of six feature-matching backends spanning classical (Shi-Tomasi, Lucas-Kanade) and learned (SuperPoint, SuperGlue, LightGlue, LoFTR, RoMa) approaches. Translation and rigid models prove insufficient under tissue deformation, while TPS…

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  • arXiv cs.LGTraining & fine-tuningSep 21

    $t_0$: A Time-Series Foundation Model for Forecasting with Context

    Lucas Meyer, Claudio Sole, Huikan Xiang, Nicolas Li, Lucas Franceschino +4

    We present $t_0$, a family of open-weights foundation models for forecasting with multivariate context. We release its first two members: $\texttt{t0-alpha}$ and $\texttt{t0-beta}$, respectively 102M and 256M parameters. Both condition their forecasts on target history, past covariates, and known-future covariates, without task-specific retraining. Their transformer layers alternate attention along time and across variates. They produce probabilistic forecasts through quantile predictions. Pretraining combines curated public data with synthetic generator families constructed to contain covariate-to-target dependencies. On GIFT-Eval, $\texttt{t0-alpha}$ reaches an aggregate CRPS of 0.4941, and $\texttt{t0-beta}$ a CRPS of 0.4738 and a MASE of 0.6865, third on both and within 4.0% of the best zero-shot TSFM. On fev-bench they score 42.2 and 46.7 in skill, the latter third again and 2.0 points behind the leader. We analyze $\texttt{t0-alpha}$ in depth. Known-future covariates raise its skill by 6.3 percentage points across 30 tasks. The report also examines its calibration, its rollout strategy on long horizons, and its robustness to missing data. On the Victoria electricity-demand…

    AIEvals80PDF
  • arXiv stat.MLSep 21

    Identifying Representational Biases in Datasets Using PCA: A Max-Disparity Partition Framework

    Arjun KM, Shashi Jain

    Principal Component Analysis (PCA) minimises aggregate reconstruction error, which can inadvertently represent majority subgroups with substantially higher fidelity than minority subgroups. Fairness-aware extensions of PCA correct this disparity but require group labels as input. We address the logically prior question: given only a data matrix, which binary partition of the data suffers the greatest representational disparity under a shared PCA projection? We formalise this as the max-disparity partition problem and propose a greedy local-search algorithm, grounded in the Fiduccia-Mattheyses bipartitioning framework, that discovers the disparity-maximising partition without any predefined group labels. Two benchmark algorithms, a fixed-projection sorting baseline and a simulated-annealing variant, confirm that the greedy solution is empirically near-optimal. Having identified the partition, we attribute the disparity to specific features via PCA loading scores and association rule mining, enabling a practitioner to assess whether the disadvantaged group corresponds to a human-meaningful minority. On the Predict Students' Dropout and Academic Success dataset, representational…

    AI30PDF
  • arXiv cs.AIEvalsSep 21

    The Endless Exam: Mathematical Constructions from Today's Models toward Superintelligence

    Muhan Zhang

    We introduce the Endless Exam, a benchmark spanning fourteen parameterised families of mathematical construction problems, with verifiable scores that distinguish progress before and beyond published mathematical frontiers. Each submitted object is checked automatically for validity and assigned a relative quality score against a published frontier or construction baseline, without capping improvements at 1. The benchmark draws long-term challenges from open mathematical problems and generates larger instances by varying their parameters. Compact certificates allow large constructions to be verified without listing every element. Across nine models evaluated on 69 distinct instances, continuous quality scores distinguish performance even though none of the 30 published-frontier references is surpassed. Size-quality curves show how construction quality changes as problem size increases. We release the generators, verifiers, references, model responses and analysis to support continued measurement before and beyond human frontiers.

    AI80PDF
  • arXiv cs.CLSep 21

    Toward a Unified Mathematics of Concepts

    Chen Shani

    Concepts are commonly defined as abstract, compact representations of knowledge and treated as basic units of intelligent behavior. Yet, cognition, psychology, and AI lack a shared mathematical language for them. Modern systems represent concepts as vectors, distributions, symbols, graphs, and other structures, but these formalisms are typically treated as competing rather than as solutions to a common problem. We propose an operation-based view that evaluates mathematical frameworks by the conceptual operations they support, identifying thirteen operations (including similarity, composition, generalization, and grounding) that recur across cognition, psychology, and AI. We show that ten frameworks embody distinct commitments to concepts as self-contained content, relational structure, or evolving process, and that these commitments determine which operations each supports naturally. For example, vector-based models facilitate graded similarity and generalization but struggle with explicit composition, whereas symbolic models support composition but offer but generalize poorly. No single framework we examined naturally supports all operations without extension. We test this…

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  • arXiv cs.CVMultimodalSep 21

    Incentive Noise and Structural Prior Infusion for Multi-modal Object Re-Identification

    Weixiang Zhou, Yuhao Wang, Xingguo Xu, Weizhen Zhou, Zhixun Su +2

    Multi-modal object Re-Identification (ReID) benefits from complementary information across heterogeneous imaging modalities. To further enrich semantic representation, text descriptions have recently been incorporated as an additional modality. However, recent vision-language approaches often treat text descriptions as clean, deterministic signals and overlook their inherent noise, including modality-mismatched phrases and semantically ambiguous expressions. Moreover, prevailing methods lack explicit mechanisms to reconcile fine-grained structural discrepancies between modalities, even after high-level semantic alignment. To address these challenges, we propose a novel framework centered on Positive-Incentive Noise (π-noise) and structured prompt modulation. First, the Semantic Cross-Modal Modulator harnesses task-aware π-noise, sampled from a distribution conditioned on both visual and text inputs, to perturb global tokens and enable semantics-guided cross-modal compensation. Second, the Structure-Aware Prompt Adapter injects learnable geometric priors via prompts to enhance spatial consistency. Third, the Context-Aware Sparse Fusion module distills structural context to guide…

    AIComputer vision60PDF
  • arXiv cs.CLTraining & fine-tuningSep 21

    QLoRA Fine-Tuning of Ministral LLM for Sequence-to-Function Protein Annotation

    Demian Pavlyshenko, Bohdan Pavlyshenko

    Functional annotation of newly sequenced proteins remains a bottleneck in molecular biology: the number of sequences in public repositories grows far faster than the capacity for manual curation. Most computational approaches consider annotation as multi-label classification over a fixed ontology, which constrains predictions to a predefined label set. In this work we study the the protein annotation as a sequence-to-text generation problem. We fine-tune the 3B-parameter Ministral 3 base model with QLoRA (4-bit NF4 quantization with low-rank adapters) on sequence annotation pairs. We assess predictions with an LLM-as-expert protocol: a GPT model prompted as a senior molecular-biology curator scores organism identification as binary and function annotation quality. We conclude that QLoRA-fine-tuned compact LLMs can generate curator-style annotations with genuine biological value for a substantial subset of proteins. We also discuss future directions in data quality, model scaling, and evidence grounding that are needed to make the approach sufficiently reliable for practical use.

    AISmall LLMs70PDF
  • arXiv cs.CVSep 21

    MIRAGE: Full-Body Bystander Privacy for Smart Glasses with Consent-Based Restoration

    Muhammad Umair, Muhammad Danial Maqbool, Fatima Arshad Cheema, Kapal Dev, Muhammad Hamad Alizai +2

    Video recording on smart glasses exposes more than faces. Continuous capture reveals full-body biometric signatures, including gait, posture, and silhouette, that enable person re-identification (ReID) even after conventional face sanitization. We present MIRAGE, a three-tier architecture for privacy-preserving smart glasses that enforces full-body privacy, supports synthetic full-body replacement, and retains encrypted recovery material for consent-based restoration. We implement MIRAGE on a Raspberry Pi~5 (a CPU-only proxy for smart-glasses compute), companion phones, and a cloud generative backend. Compared to prior systems, MIRAGE achieves 0.948 AP and 0.976 AR while accurately detecting the complete visible body. Its bounding box masking reduces learned silhouette-based ReID to essentially random guessing, with 10.86% Rank-1 accuracy compared with an 11.12% measured chance level. Even against an adaptive adversary retrained on MIRAGE's sanitized pose signals, Rank-1 gait identification drops from 90.25% to 26.20%, removing 72.5% of the adversary's identification advantage.

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  • arXiv cs.CVSep 21

    Dynamic Thermal Gaussians: Multimodal 4D Gaussian Splatting

    Rongfeng Lu, Lifeng Lin, Xiaobao Wei, Quan Chen, Ming Lu +5

    Thermography plays a vital role in military and broader thermal analysis applications. Recent progress in 3D thermal reconstruction has extended temperature analysis from 2D to 3D space, yet most existing works assume static temperature distributions, neglecting the temporal dynamics of heat transfer in real-world environments. To address this limitation, we propose the first dynamic RGB-Thermal reconstruction framework for complex scenes. Our method jointly models RGB appearance, thermal observations, and scene geometry as they change over time. Specifically, we introduce a multimodal dynamic scene representation that anchors both the color and thermal modalities to a shared geometric substrate, ensuring their consistency under spatiotemporal deformations. We further design multimodal embeddings to enhance the motion expressiveness for each modality, and propose a multimodal routing mechanism that retains a unified set of shared multimodal Gaussians as the geometric backbone while adaptively spawning modality-specific Gaussians to strengthen the representational capacity in detail-rich regions of each individual modality. In addition, we contribute a novel benchmark dataset…

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  • arXiv stat.MLSep 21

    Beyond Point Prediction: Artificial Representative Trees with Uncertainty

    Lea L. Mairhöfer, Silke Szymczak, Björn-Hergen Laabs, Tuwe Löfström-Cavallin

    Random forests (RFs) predict well but are opaque, whereas single decision trees are interpretable but unstable. Artificial representative trees (ARTs) were developed as interpretable surrogate models for RFs, but their use as standalone prediction models with uncertainty quantification has not been systematically investigated. We combine ARTs with leaf-wise Mondrian conformal predictive systems (CPS), enabling a single tree to provide continuous predictions, prediction intervals, and probabilities of exceeding arbitrary thresholds. We compared ARTs with CPS against decision trees with CPS and separate regression and probability trees across five simulation scenarios, 21 benchmark datasets, and a cross-sectional NHANES example data set. Repeated cross-validation assessed predictive performance, interpretability, and stability. ARTs with CPS yield compact, structurally stable trees with substantially more reproducible split-variable selection than decision trees across benchmark datasets and NHANES. Decision trees showed slightly better predictive performance and narrower prediction intervals, while coverage was broadly comparable. CPS-based trees generally achieved lower and less…

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