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Research · AI field

Classifier & causal discovery

Found by the topic model: classifier, causal discovery, bayesian optimization.

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77papers this week−28.7% vs last week429 this month

Papers

  • arXiv cs.LGOct 19

    Training with ML-labeled Data via Stochastic First- and Zeroth-Order Optimization

    Maria-Eleni Sfyraki, Jun-Kun Wang

    Training a machine learning (ML) model is an optimization process that typically requires a set of examples with ground-truth labels beforehand. Obtaining these ground truths usually requires laborious human effort and can be costly. The scalability of human labeling becomes a concern when there are a large number of data points that need to be labeled. To address this practical issue, we consider an optimization setting where a subset of samples has ground-truth labels, while the remaining data points were labeled by an ML predictor, which could potentially assign incorrect labels to those points. We propose both first-order and zeroth-order stochastic optimization methods for training on datasets consisting of a mix of true-labeled and ML-labeled samples. We further conduct comprehensive empirical studies from training a linear regression model to fine-tuning a large language model (LLM) to showcase the effectiveness of the proposed algorithms for training with ML-labeled data.

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  • arXiv cs.LGOct 19

    CAVA: Complementary-Label-Aware Data Valuation

    Tan-Ha Mai, Hsuan-Tien Lin, Vu Nguyen

    Complementary-label learning (CLL) trains a classifier from labels that name a class an instance does not belong to. Such labels are cheap to collect from crowdworkers or vision-language models (VLMs), making them attractive for large-scale annotation. However, both sources can mistakenly assign the true class as the complementary label. Such annotation errors are particularly harmful in CLL because the model is explicitly trained to suppress the correct answer. Optimal transport (OT) data valuation identifies harmful samples by comparing training data with a clean validation set, but transferring it directly to CLL creates a semantic mismatch: label $c$ means not class $c$ in the training but class $c$ in the validation. We show that this makes the OT label groups noisy mixtures whose behavior depends on the noise rate. The transferred score is informative only at sufficiently high noise, becomes uninformative at the crossover rate $1/M$ for $M$ classes, and reverses below it, where practical CLL annotation typically operates. We propose CAVA, which introduces a complementary label cost and a label margin that isolates the contribution of each complementary label to the…

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  • arXiv cs.AIOct 19

    Local data augmentation for imbalanced binary classification

    Harold Gu{é}neau, Alain Celisse, Pascal Delange

    Facing imbalanced binary classification, we aim at maximizing the recall while limiting the proportion of false detections in the minority class. For doing that, the present work studies the effect of several rebalancing strategies, from the uniform subsampling of the observations from the minority class, to a more involved local data augmentation scheme. To be more specific, we establish that only rebalancing class proportions cannot modify the classification performance, whereas local data augmentation is proved to have an impact on the final results. The local augmentation scheme is introduced by means of a two-step procedure. The first step randomly subsamples anchor points among the training observations. These anchor points are used in the second step, for drawing new augmentation data following an ''augmentation kernel'' to be specified. This enables us to decouple the impact of the anchor points subsampling from the one of drawing augmentation data accounting (or not) for the local geometry of the support. The experiments on synthetic data illustrate the practical performance of several strategies for subsampling anchor points combined with either a Gaussian or a…

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  • arXiv cs.LGOct 19

    Optimal Multi-Kernel Combination for Online Multi-Label Classification

    Tingting Zhai, Wei Liu, Renjian Yu

    Multi-label classification is particularly challenging in streaming scenarios, where data arrives sequentially. Online kernel methods offer a promising solution. However, prevailing methods rely on a single preselected kernel, making them prone to suboptimal choices since the global data distribution is unknown in advance in online settings. Although the recent method, Online Kernel Selection for Online Multi-label Classification (OKS-OMC), enables data-driven kernel selection, it fails to fully harness the complementary information from multiple kernels and encounters the curse of kernelization. To address these limitations, this paper introduces a novel online multi-kernel combination method for large-scale multi-label classification. First, an efficient and robust online single-kernel multi-label method is designed. Second, learning an optimal convex combination of multiple multi-label kernel classifiers is formalized as a structural risk minimization problem. An improved alternating optimization procedure is developed, in which the combination coefficients are updated by directly minimizing the objective function, while each kernel classifier is updated by minimizing a…

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  • arXiv cs.AIOct 19

    On the Benefits of Uncertainty Estimation for Species Classification: A Case Study on Optimizing Expert re-Annotation

    Kamenan N'Gadi, Martin Laviale, C{é}dric Pradalier, J{é}r{é}my Fix

    Automated identification of diatoms from microscopic images is a cornerstone of large-scale freshwater biomonitoring, yet the high diversity of species and strong class imbalance pose significant challenges for reliable classification. In this study, we develop a ResNet-18 baseline for a 759-class diatom dataset and investigate how calibrated confidence estimates support selective classification to reduce expert workload without sacrificing taxonomic integrity. While the initial model exhibits overconfidence with an Expected Calibration Error (ECE) of 0.117, post-hoc temperature scaling (T = 2.12) dramatically improves reliability, lowering the ECE to 0.055.By leveraging these calibrated probabilities within a triage framework, we demonstrate that a Selective Macro-F1 score of 99.01% can be maintained at 66.2% coverage (rejection threshold $τ$ = 0.934). Qualitative analysis reveals that the system effectively functions as an intelligent filter, consistently deferring rare taxa-such as AAMB and AASI-and ambiguous morphologies for expert review. Our findings, supported by the torch-uncertainty framework, highlight the potential of simple calibration techniques to make automated…

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  • arXiv stat.MLOct 19

    Fair Regression under Approximate Demographic Parity

    Weiwei Wang, Xianyang Zhang, Raymond K. W. Wong

    Exact demographic parity requires the same prediction distribution across sensitive groups. In regression, this can be too restrictive and reduce predictive accuracy. We instead bound every pairwise Wasserstein distance between group-specific prediction distributions by a chosen tolerance, allowing the groups to differ while keeping fairness tunable. On the real line, the prediction and constrained transport problems have the same infimum. If the transport problem attains this value and suitable Monge maps exist, a deterministic transport-form predictor realizes it. Under a standard one-dimensional condition, the problem becomes a bounded quantile optimization that is convex when the conditional expected loss is convex in prediction. Under squared loss with two positively weighted groups, the $W_1$, $W_2$, and $W_\infty$ constraints yield soft-thresholding, shrinkage, and clipping. Under the stated conditions, we establish rates for the known-cost plug-in estimator. When the cost is unavailable, we describe an observed-loss computational proxy. Synthetic and California 2018 ACS studies illustrate the tunable fairness-accuracy trade-off and distinguish calibration feasibility from…

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  • arXiv cs.LGOct 19

    MT-CC: Multi-Group Temperature Scaling for Asymmetric Calibration Behavior in Class-Incremental Learning

    Sungjun Yun, Yonghee Choi, Dong-Jun Han

    As deep neural networks are required to continuously adapt to evolving data, class-incremental learning (CIL) has become an active research area. However, most existing works primarily focus on improving accuracy while overlooking confidence calibration, which measures the trustworthiness of the model's predictions. Although temperature scaling (TS) is effective for static calibration, it has rarely been explored in continual settings where data distributions evolve over time. In this paper, we introduce Multi-Group Temperature Scaling for Continual Calibration (MT-CC), a novel post-hoc calibration framework that addresses the asymmetric calibration behavior in CIL, where the rate of confidence changes does not align with the rate of accuracy degradation across tasks, leading to different levels of miscalibration. Our key contribution is to design multiple temperature parameters through a lightweight grouping network that separates samples by confidence statistics and task-aware signals in CIL. Furthermore, a Groupwise Difference-between-Confidence-and-Accuracy (GDCA) regularization is incorporated to promote intra-group consistency. Experiments demonstrate that MT-CC…

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  • arXiv cs.LGOct 19

    Can Metadata Fix the Gauge? Calibration Turns Sparse Multi-Source Learning from Sparse PCA into Sparse Mean Recovery

    Yirong Xiang, Yibo Zhou

    Source labels tell us where a sample came from, but not how that source oriented its coordinates. In a sparse Gaussian multi-source model with source-specific sign gauges, that distinction changes the learning problem. Without calibration, pooling across sources erases the mean signal, and the source-labelled experiment reduces to sparse PCA. With task-independent relative-gauge metadata, synchronization aligns sources and the same observations become a sparse mean problem. We formalize the value of metadata through AlignedMass, which quantifies how much first-order signal a metadata-induced alignment restores. Source labels create only limited AlignedMass, whereas valid calibration can create AlignedMass proportional to the full sample size. This yields a statistical separation in micro-source regimes and, under standard sparse-PCA hardness assumptions, a computational separation as well. Synthetic experiments check the predicted scaling; controlled real-feature and physical sensor studies examine sign cancellation, separately acquired calibration, and reuse across tasks.

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  • arXiv cs.CVOct 19

    Confidence-Guided Pseudo-Label Refinement for Unsupervised Cross-Domain Person Re-Identification

    Sundas Iqbal, Danish Ali, Qing Tian, Yuhui Zheng, Jianping Gou +1

    Unsupervised cross-domain person re-identification remains challenging because domain shifts generate noisy pseudo labels that are reinforced during iterative adaptation. Existing clustering-based methods often rely on limited reliability cues or global confidence criteria and may impose hard identity supervision on ambiguous target samples. To address these limitations, we propose CGPLR, a confidence-guided pseudo-label refinement framework for unsupervised domain-adaptive person re-identification. CGPLR estimates sample-level reliability by jointly modeling centroid compatibility, local neighborhood consistency, separation from the strongest competing cluster and temporal assignment stability. The resulting confidence distribution is used to derive cluster-adaptive upper and lower thresholds for a three-way selective decision. Reliable assignments are preserved, recoverable samples are reassigned only when an alternative cluster receives sufficient geometric and neighborhood support and highly ambiguous samples are deferred from hard identity supervision. The learning objective adapts to these decisions through confidence-weighted supervision for preserved samples, cautious…

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  • arXiv cs.LGOct 19

    Conditional Average Treatment Effect Distillation for Hypothetical State-Intervention Targeting Under Budget Constraints

    Vasundhara Acharya, Bülent Yener

    Personalized public-health targeting must capture heterogeneous intervention benefits while remaining interpretable under resource constraints. Flexible causal-effect models can be hard to operationalize, while coarse subgroup policies may lose individualized effect information. We study budget-constrained hypothetical state interventions in observational data without a logged historical decision policy. For obesity, elevated glucose, and lifetime smoking-history states, causal-structure-informed pretreatment covariates are prespecified, with capacity capped at 70% of those observed in the adverse state. We evaluate causal distillation where Causal Forest and Bayesian Causal Forest teachers estimate conditional average treatment effects (CATEs), which decision tree and random forest students approximate. We compare individualized policies with unsupervised K-means subgroup policies and supervised causal-tree policies with leaf counts matched to K-means cluster counts. Observational policies are assessed on held-out data using a doubly robust estimator, bootstrap uncertainty, and decision-focused teacher-student fidelity measures. Across PIMA obesity and glucose and NHANES…

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  • arXiv cs.LGOct 18

    Predicted Class Correction: Conformal Thresholds for Classes with No Calibration Data

    One Octadion, Novanto Yudistira, Yuta Nakashima

    Class-conditional conformal prediction calibrates a separate score threshold for every class and therefore requires labelled calibration examples of every class. In long-tailed deployments these are exactly what is missing: rare classes are left with few or no held-out examples, and existing methods are either undefined for them or fall back to the shared marginal threshold. We ask whether the per-class correction can instead be predicted from descriptors of the class that require no labels at all. We propose Predicted Class Correction (PCC), which regresses the offset between the per-class and the marginal conformal quantile on geometric descriptors of the classifier head, shrinks the prediction by a scalar selected on the labelled classes, and refits a single marginal offset. The descriptors depend only on the model's weights, so a class with zero calibration examples still receives its own threshold, and since only one scalar is calibrated, split conformal's marginal guarantee is retained. On ImageNet, PCC improves worst-class coverage on such classes by 0.058 [0.006, 0.110] at matched average set size, 42% of an oracle that sees the test labels. Of eight baselines on the same…

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  • arXiv cs.LGOct 18

    EasyResearch: Honest Regression, Forecasting and Signal Classification for Researchers Who Do Not Program

    Ahmad B. A. Hassanat, Ghada A. Altarawneh

    EasyClassifier showed that researchers who do not program can obtain honest classification results when the correct evaluation is the default. Most applied studies, however, predict a number, forecast a series or classify recordings, and each task has its own way of producing scores that do not hold on new data. We present EasyResearch, open-source analysis cores for regression, time-series forecasting and signal classification, and EasyResearch Desktop, a Windows application that runs these three tasks and EasyClassifier's classification without code. All four follow the same rules: everything learned from data is learned on training data only, models keep their published defaults with fixed seeds, the selected model receives a separate final score, forecasts are never evaluated on shuffled data, and every run writes a report with a Methods paragraph and the references for every method used. We measured whether the reported scores are honest by keeping part of each dataset untouched. In regression (9 public datasets, 90 runs), the common practice overstated R^2 by +2.2 points and the best comparison score by +2.5, while EasyResearch's final score was -1.0; screening predictors…

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  • arXiv stat.MEOct 18

    Estimating Causal Bounds from Observational Data With Neural Generative Models

    Max Zhu, Srivathsan Amruth, Sina Akbari, Qingyuan Zhao

    Identifying causal bounds from discrete observational data is a fundamental problem in causal inference. While exact analytical bounds exist for certain graphs, this is not generally the case. In this paper, we introduce a framework for estimating such bounds using neural generative models together with a new extrapolation procedure to estimate these bounds more accurately. Across multiple causal inference settings, it produces bounds that are consistently closer to the true bounds than those obtained with existing general neural approaches. We validate the framework on a range of benchmark problems for which exact bounds are available.

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  • arXiv cs.CLOct 18

    Hidden Cartographer: Hidden State Guided Data Selection for Dual Budgeted Instruction Tuning

    Zixuan Qin, Qi Qin, Erbo Li, Ting Wei, Yifan Sun +1

    Given the high cost of expert annotation and limited fine-tuning resources, effective data selection from large unlabeled pools under strict budgets has become a crucial step in adapting LLMs to specialized domains. Existing label-dependent methods risk distorted selection when using pseudo-labels, while traditional active learning methods do not explicitly characterize instruction-tuning dynamics. To address these limitations, we propose Hidden Cartographer (HC), a two-stage framework that uses hidden states to guide annotation and exact training dynamics to select the final training subset. The first stage is Progressive Candidate Expansion, which utilizes the proxy to iteratively select top unlabeled candidates for expert annotation, merging them to recompute training dynamics and update the proxy until the annotation budget is exhausted; the second stage is Exact Cartography Pruning, which ranks these annotated candidates by their exact dynamics scores to isolate a compact subset under the final training budget. Experiments across the medical, legal, and financial domains demonstrate that HC achieves the highest average accuracy among all budgeted baselines, requiring…

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  • arXiv cs.CVOct 18

    HullProbe: Measuring Interventional Part Reliance in Maritime Vessel Classifiers

    Faisal Mohammad, Mohamed Younis

    Recognizing a vessel's type from an image supports maritime surveillance and sanctions monitoring, but a classifier can reach high accuracy by leaning on the generic hull instead of the more distinctive superstructure, and is then fooled when a vessel is re-hulled or occluded. De-biasing methods claim to remove such reliance, yet the field certifies them with worst-group accuracy, a proxy that needs group labels and only infers reliance from accuracy. We measure the reliance directly. HullProbe swaps a registered anatomical part of a vessel for another instance's and reads how much that part drives the decision, using a same-class swap to control for compositing artifacts. Because a surface vessel is a hull and a superstructure arranged along one axis, its parts form a 2x3 grid whose 2^6 = 64 swaps we evaluate exhaustively, and a single Walsh transform returns each part's interventional influence and its interaction spectrum. On planted shortcuts, where the true reliance is known, the measure tracks worst-group accuracy (r = -0.94 over 45 configurations), and replacing its learned segmenter with human annotations changes the hull-share by less than the audit's resolution. On the…

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  • arXiv stat.MLOct 18

    Decision-Target Reversal under Informative Label Missingness

    Farinborz Setoudehtazangi, Geoffrey J. McLachlan

    Informative label missingness can improve classification efficiency because the pattern of label availability may itself contain information about the discriminant structure. We show that this advantage need not persist across deployment objectives: with the data-generating model and statistical experiments held fixed, informative partial classification can be favourable under one loss and unfavourable under another. We call this phenomenon decision-target reversal. For binary Gaussian discrimination, we derive a local cost-sensitive excess-risk expansion and, in one dimension, obtain explicit critical cost ratios at which the first-order risk ordering reverses. We show that the required covariance geometry arises under finite uncertainty-dependent missingness mechanisms with a fixed marginal missing-label proportion. We then extend the analysis to multiclass finite-action problems through loss-specific active-boundary curvature, yielding a general decision-target frontier. Monte Carlo experiments illustrate the predicted reversals, and a descriptive gastrointestinal-lesion application with agreement-defined label availability illustrates sensitivity to deployment costs. The…

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  • arXiv cs.LGOct 18

    Multifidelity Monte Carlo Estimator for High-Dimensional Quantities of Interest

    Zhibo Dai, Hamdi A. Tchelepi, Daniel M. Tartakovsky

    Multifidelity Monte Carlo (MFMC) reduces the cost of estimating the statistics of quantities of interest (QoIs) computed via expensive high-fidelity model by using cheaper low-fidelity models as control variates. We extend MFMC to vector-valued QoIs by replacing the scalar control-variate coefficients with matrices and minimizing a weighted mean-squared error. The optimal full-matrix coefficients are available in closed form, and their variance reduction is summarized by an effective correlation that takes the place of the squared Pearson correlation in the closed-form MFMC design. Restricting the coefficients to block-diagonal, diagonal, and scalar classes gives a nested hierarchy of estimators with increasing variance reduction and increasing pilot-data demand, with closed-form coefficients for compatible weightings. For a scalar QoI obtained by linearly projecting the state, correcting the full state before projecting is never worse at the population level. Experiments on a Gaussian problem, a reduced-order model of an advection--diffusion problem, and a coarse-grid two-phase flow problem show that the best class depends on the pilot size relative to the number of covariance…

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  • arXiv cs.LGOct 17

    A Symmetry-Matching Approach to Blind-Spot Reduction in Sparse Autoencoders

    Csaba Balogh

    Language models can treat semantically distinct inputs as interchangeable at the representation level, creating blind spots that standard sparse autoencoder (SAE) objectives do not target. In safety-critical settings such as clinical dosage extraction, legal clause interpretation, or financial amount verification, such failures can propagate silently into downstream decisions. We study this problem as one of feature-basis orientation. Building on a symmetry-matching view from algebraic error-detection theory, we add a differentiable $V_{\mathrm{Gini}}$ regularisation term to SAE training that penalises uneven perturbation response within a specified family. Across GPT-2, Gemma 2, and Qwen 2.5, a frozen multi-seed evaluation shows that $V$-regularisation raises both relative and absolute lower-tail responses while reducing response-profile imbalance, with no material general-text reconstruction degradation. JumpReLU and minimum description length (MDL) objectives remain close to the Standard SAE profile under the same protocol. Family-geometry controls show that the effect is not explained by template duplication or a single dominant perturbation family, and held-out probes plus…

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  • arXiv stat.MLOct 17

    Scalable and Adaptive Distribution Regression via Random Features

    Yinsong Wang, Xiao Liu, Yu Ding

    Distribution regression seeks to learn mappings from probability distributions to response variables and has emerged as a unifying framework for kernel methods, multi-instance learning, and set-valued learning. Despite its success, kernel-based distribution regression remains computationally expensive and sensitive to kernel choice, motivating scalable and adaptive representations. Building on random feature approximations, we develop a finite-sample analysis of Random Feature Distribution Regression (RaDR) under two-stage sampling. Our perturbation analysis separates the effects of distribution-level sampling, finite within-bag sampling, and random feature approximation. We establish sufficient feature-budget conditions under which RaDR preserves the order of our excess-risk upper bound for exact two-stage kernel distribution regression while maintaining computational efficiency. We further propose Adaptive Random Feature Distribution Regression (A-RaDR), a unified score-guided framework that adaptively allocates random features according to downstream learning objectives. Experiments on synthetic benchmarks and 41 real-world datasets demonstrate that RaDR delivers substantial…

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  • arXiv cs.LGOct 17

    LLM-Based Evaluation Planning for Heterogeneous Optimization

    Nian Ran, Sebastian Brulin, Markus Olhofer, Mauricio A. Álvarez, Richard Allmendinger

    Heterogeneous optimization problems require an optimizer to decide not only which candidate solutions to evaluate, but also which objectives and constraints should be evaluated under different costs and fidelities. Existing SOTA methods such as MFE-NSGA-III address this setting with manually designed selection metrics, but their behavior is largely determined by predefined heuristic rules and hyperparameters. In this work, we propose REP-HO, a reasoning-based evaluation planner that replaces the rule-based mixed-fidelity selection step with a large language model (LLM) planner. The LLM receives the same primitive optimization-state information as the heuristic planner, such as surrogate predictions, uncertainties, evaluation costs, and budget status. We first show that REP-HO achieves competitive performance compared to the human-designed metric-based method (MFE-NSGA-III). We then further enhance each decision with an adaptive nearest-neighbor summary, leading to better and more stable results. We evaluate REP-HO across five heterogeneous regimes covering cost imbalance, constraint difficulty, surrogate fidelity, budget level, and objective conflict. Across these regimes, one of…

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Open problems in Classifier & causal discovery

  • Lack of standardized benchmarks for agentic black-box optimization1 paper raises it · 1 addresses it

    Makes it hard to compare methods and isolate the effects of design choices across domains.

    • A Closer Look at Agentic BBO: Benchmarking LLM Agents for Black-Box Optimizationraises · addresses
  • Identifiability of individual world latents without reconstruction1 paper raises it · 1 addresses it

    Current methods often rely on reconstruction or auxiliary supervision, limiting their applicability.

    • DSReg: Provably Recovering Individual World Latents without Reconstructionraises · addresses
  • Handling noisy complementary labels in classification1 paper raises it · 1 addresses it

    Complementary labels can be cheap but are prone to errors that harm model training.

    • CAVA: Complementary-Label-Aware Data Valuationraises · addresses
  • Calibration in class-incremental learning1 paper raises it · 1 addresses it

    Confidence calibration degrades asymmetrically across tasks as models adapt to new data.

    • MT-CC: Multi-Group Temperature Scaling for Asymmetric Calibration Behavior in Class-Incremental Learningraises · addresses
  • Training with ML-labeled data under label noise1 paper raises it · 1 addresses it

    ML-labeled data can introduce errors that degrade model performance if not addressed.

    • Training with ML-labeled Data via Stochastic First- and Zeroth-Order Optimizationraises · addresses

Named by an AI from these papers' abstracts.