Today's trail

Test-time adaptation (TTA) updates a deployed model using only unlabeled target data, but standard entropy-based methods often rely on deterministic confidence and can reinforce overconfident errors under distribution shift. We propose MIRA, Mutual Information guided calibration for Reliable Test-Time Adaptation, a source-free online adaptation method that uses lightweight last-layer Gaussian perturbations to probe prediction reliability. For each target batch, MIRA reuses a single feature extraction pass and samples perturbed classifiers around the source classifier, forming an efficient local predictive distribution. Rather than fitting a Bayesian posterior, MIRA treats the perturbation scale as a local probing radius and selects a batch-specific scale using mutual information (MI) and prediction agreement. The resulting perturbation-sensitivity signal identifies predictions that are confident and locally stable under classifier perturbations, while suppressing brittle predictions with high stochastic disagreement. MIRA then performs adaptation with an MI-confidence weighted entropy loss, which down-weights perturbation-sensitive or low-confidence samples before they drive…