Predicting Out-of-Distribution Generalization of Neural Operators via Observable Spectral Error Decomposition

Hang-Cheng Dong, Pengcheng Cheng

Neural operators have emerged as powerful surrogates for solving partial differential equations (PDEs), yet their reliability under distribution shift remains a critical barrier to deployment. Existing approaches to out-of-distribution (OOD) generalization in operator learning are largely empirical and black-box: they report aggregate error metrics without explaining why errors arise or when they will grow. We propose a structure-preserving framework that makes OOD generalization predictable and auditable. Our key idea is to parameterize the learned solution operator as a spectral filter $h_θ(λ)$ acting on the eigenvalues of the underlying elliptic operator, implemented via Chebyshev polynomial expansions and trained with a weak-form objective. This parameterization admits an exact decomposition of the energy-norm error into two observable components: a model-dependent spectral approximation term and a distribution-dependent spectral weighting term induced by the input. From this decomposition we derive three diagnostics: a conservative in-band supremum $\vareps_{\mathrm{sup}}$, a global RMS proxy $\vareps_{\mathrm{rms}}$, and a sample-dependent effective metric…