Indirect tipping: a social attack surface in AI agent populations

Ariel Flint, Luca Maria Aiello, Sara M. Constantino, Romualdo Pastor-Satorras, Andrea Baronchelli

As generative AI agents are deployed at scale, safety will depend not only on technical safeguards and individual model design, but also on collective equilibria that determine how agent populations process information, prioritize actions, and respond to uncertainty. Yet the same equilibria that enable agents to coordinate also create a social attack surface. The standard framework to assess this vulnerability is critical mass dynamics: the minimum fraction of adversarial agents required to overturn an equilibrium through direct competition. Here, we show that this approach risks underestimating system vulnerability by reducing the problem to the identification of singular tipping points, and ignoring indirect but potentially more efficient routes through which collective behavior can be redirected. Through experiments with populations of LLM agents and an analytic framework that captures their collective dynamics at scale, we map critical-mass thresholds that define a directed, weighted topology over the space of coordination equilibria, and treat this topology as a navigable landscape. We show that indirect tipping through intermediate stepping-stone equilibria can reduce the…