Does a model's stated reason for rejecting a candidate do any work?

Archit Rastogi

Asked to choose between candidates and explain the choice, a language model often rejects a rival by naming a fact its profile lacks: no director, no date of death. That sentence is a claim about the text in front of the model, and it can be tested without any judge. We insert a real corpus sentence stating the named fact into the rival's profile and ask again under greedy decoding. Two controls separate content from placement: a length-matched irrelevant sentence at the same profile, and the same two sentences at a third option the model never mentioned. In the largest of three runs, six open models on 2WikiMultihopQA, supplying the named fact at the profile the model named moves its choice more than the irrelevant control does, odds ratio 3.57 [1.54, 8.26], Holm p=0.0210, and this survives dropping any single model. The contrast the design was built to detect, the same fact at the option nobody named, does not clear correction, Holm p=0.2428. The strongest result in the family carries no content claim at all: the identical irrelevant sentence moves the choice more at the named rival than at the third option, Holm p=0.0008. Repair and control also differ in co-candidate…