Bayesian Tensor Autoencoder with Physics-informed Predictive Prior for Multi-dimensional Time Series Anomaly Detection

Jianan Liu, Chunguang Li

Multi-dimensional time series, inherently tensorial, are common in practice. Despite great progress in time series anomaly detection, most existing methods are confined to uni-/multi-variate time series. When handling multi-dimensional time series using these methods, reshaping operations are required, which inevitably break the intrinsic correlations and thus lead to performance degradation. In uni-/multi-variate time series anomaly detection, AutoEncoders (AEs) are widely adopted and generally categorized into reconstruction-based and prediction-based AEs. The reconstruction-based AE utilizes the current observation for reconstruction, while the prediction-based AE utilizes the historical information to predict the current observation. Thus, the two AEs utilize different information. To bridge the gap between reconstruction-based and prediction-based AEs, so as to fully leverage the available information and thus further enhance performance, we propose a predictive prior and incorporate it into the reconstruction-based AE. It may not be very difficult to conceive this idea, but designing the predictive prior so that it can work for tensor anomaly detection is non-trivial.…