Counterfactual Self-Evolving Agents for Evidence-Grounded Reasoning

Xing Han, Yuxin Wang, Chen Chen, Wei Dai, Gautham Krishna Gudur +6

Self-play proposer--solver methods improve reasoning by generating tasks and learning from verified solutions. However, for evidence-identifiable tasks, where case-specific evidence and domain knowledge determine a checkable answer, self-play requires generating plausible cases whose answers can be independently verified. We introduce counterfactual self-evolution, which generates counterfactual context for reconsidering the original case. A trainable Proposer constructs targeted evidence edits and describes potential outcome changes with causal explanations. We handcraft an expert-verified counterfactual instruction-tuning dataset to teach the Proposer to generate high-quality counterfactuals across a broad range of action--outcome scenarios. Each counterfactual instruction-tuning example specifies an edit within a defined category and explains its hypothesized causal effect on the decision, teaching the Proposer to reason systematically about what changes and why. We instruction-tune the Proposer on these examples, then formulate a fine-tuning reward that integrates feedback from the Solver and Verifier. Across diverse counterfactual scenarios, this reward favors high-quality…