Evidence Before Accuracy: A MRI-PET Fusion Network for Alzheimer Disease Classification with Causal Regional Validation

Saeid Firouzi Daghigh, Saeed Ayat

Deep learning models for Alzheimer disease (AD) classification routinely report near-perfect discrimination, yet few are shown to rest on AD-relevant neurobiology rather than on dataset artifacts, subject-level leakage, or non-brain image content. We present a fusion network combining T1 MRI and FDG PET across axial, coronal, and sagittal planes, trained on ADNI consists of 554 paired subjects. The fusion model reaches AUC 0.962, accuracy 0.909, and F1 0.891, competitive with recent 3D CNN and multimodal transformer systems at substantially lower cost. We first quantify how much modality, plane and slice geometry matter. A validation-only search over slice centres and neighbour spacings moves AUC by 0.180 for MRI and 0.078 for PET, selecting narrow spacing for MRI and wide spacing for PET, with the chosen coronal centres falling on the hippocampal body and on the posterior cingulate respectively. The contribution, however, is the evidence layer built around that number. Shortcut controls collapse the model to AUC 0.622 (silhouette), 0.608 (exterior), and 0.500 (blank), and a label-permutation null yields 0.456. Forward region-of-interest (ROI) ablation shows that masking medial…