The Planning Limits of Latent World Models

Ali Alrasheed, Basim Azam, Naveed Akhtar

World models offer a promising way to help robots understand how the physical world evolves and plan complex behaviours through imagination. Yet existing studies mainly demonstrate what these models can accomplish, leaving unclear when their predictions remain useful for planning and where they fail. We study this question using action-conditioned predictors built on five frozen self-supervised visual backbones: V-JEPA 2, V-JEPA 2.1, VideoMAEv2, VideoPrism, and DINOv2. We use frozen backbones to test representations intended to transfer across environments. We evaluate these models on diverse Meta-World manipulation tasks and real-robot interactions from BridgeData V2. We find that a world model guides action selection reliably only when the goal lies within, or slightly beyond, the trajectory it imagines during planning. With five-step rollouts, the length the predictor was trained on, the world model ranks actions reliably only for targets five to ten control steps ahead, whereas task goals lie 16 to 53 steps away. Neither an 81-fold larger predictor nor longer-rollout training extends this range; the encoder affects both range and closed-loop success, with V-JEPA 2.1…