Wasserstein Gradient Flows and Forward-Only Diffusion Are Not Enough for Multimodal Sampling

Daniel McBride, Pratik Khandagale, Cristina Garcia-Cardona, Yen Ting Lin

There has been a proliferation of sampling algorithms based on Wasserstein gradient flows (WGF) and forward-only diffusion processes (FODP), often accompanied by theoretical guarantees of exponentially fast convergence to the target distribution. These guarantees are frequently interpreted as evidence that such methods can efficiently sample complex multimodal distributions, often supported by empirical results. In this work, we argue that this interpretation is fundamentally misleading. By invoking the Jordan-Kinderlehrer-Otto (JKO) scheme and Otto calculus, we establish that the canonical WGF sampling dynamics and overdamped forward diffusion share the same density evolution and therefore inherit the same metastability and slow-mixing phenomena long understood in nonequilibrium statistical physics. We analyze this family of samplers using two complementary tools -- spectral analysis and mean first-passage time (MFPT) analysis -- and show that well-separated multimodality can induce exponentially long mixing times associated with small spectral gaps and rare inter-mode transitions. For the commonly adopted log-linear annealing schedule studied here, we find that introducing…