Evidence and Intervention: A Coupled Active-Inference Extension of Rational Speech Act Models

Yonghyeon Gwon, Elliot Murphy, Chun Kee Chung

Identical utterance choices can arise from different communicative causes, and identical interpretations can leave different traces in what a listener learns. Rational Speech Act (RSA) models treat interpretation as inference over speaker meaning, but standard one-shot RSA does not intrinsically distinguish these causal update targets. We develop a coupled active-inference model of dialogue in which a listener's likelihood for an utterance is the policy distribution attributed to the speaker, placing the speaker's expected free energy within the listener's variational free energy. Each utterance is therefore both evidence about and an intervention on a partner. The model separates four updates that RSA approaches typically collapse: inference about the partner's current pragmatic state; learning of partner-specific parameters; prospective evaluation of clarification or repair; and a policy prior shaped by habit and a context-sensitive price of time. Under one-step, exact-inference restrictions, the model recovers the RSA speaker and listener, with RSA as the restricted single-turn limit of the coupled process. Outside these restrictions, the updates obey distinct rules and…