FearCaut-Qwen: Affective Steering in a Vision-Language Model Shifts the Decision Criterion for Hazard Assessment

Xiaoshan Zhou

Vision-language models (VLMs) show great potential for damage assessment after a disaster, but a recurring deficiency is that they are reluctant to declare a hazard; that is, recall is low even when overall accuracy appears adequate. This study examines that deficiency by using signal detection theory to decompose the decision behavior into perceptual capability and decision-criterion placement. We then propose a novel method for correcting the over-conservative decision policy, inspired by the finding that fear makes humans risk-averse, and ask whether an affective representation associated with fear can be causally manipulated to similarly alter a VLM's decision tendency. Using mechanistic interpretability, we localize a causally implicated affective circuit in the model and use activation steering to manipulate it while observing the effect on downstream prediction. The method is tested on a two-stage SeisMLLM pipeline built on Qwen2.5-VL-7B-Instruct, which flags only 27.0% of genuinely unsafe buildings on the SeisMLLM-1K test split and never issues a false Red, an SDT criterion of c = +1.354, despite adequate evidence quality (d' = 1.521). An affective direction is localized…