Visual Dependence Does Not Imply Answerability: A Systematic Analysis of Answerability Signals in Frozen InstructBLIP

Minjun Kim, Hyunmin Song, Changwon Lim

Visual question answering models often produce plausible responses even when the available visual evidence is insufficient to support a valid answer. Although prior work has introduced benchmarks and abstention mechanisms for unanswerable visual questions, it remains unclear which signals derived from a frozen vision-language model reliably indicate answerability on unseen image-question pairs. We systematically evaluate answerability signals on a stratified 10K subset of UNK-VQA using frozen InstructBLIP, covering predictive uncertainty, cross-modal alignment, visual grounding, visual dependence, internal representations, and learned probes. Answerability discrimination remains weak, with test AUROC largely confined to 0.50-0.54. CLIP alignment yields the highest point estimate but does not significantly outperform generation confidence under paired bootstrap analysis. Targeted removal of question-relevant visual evidence causes substantially larger changes in answer confidence than same-size random masking, yet intervention sensitivity provides essentially no answerability discrimination. Increasing probe capacity, combining multiple signals, and adding reason-aware supervision…