A general recipe for data-adaptive anytime-valid envelopes for iterative algorithms

Soham Bonnerjee, Aaditya Ramdas

Most convergence guarantees for iterative stochastic algorithms are stated at a fixed iteration count and do not justify stopping at a data-dependent time. Recent work has constructed anytime-valid envelopes that do, but deterministic envelopes are typically too conservative for practical stopping, and existing data-adaptive ones are derived case-by-case, each coupling a specific algorithm to a specific noise model and boundary construction. This paper provides a general recipe for constructing such anytime-valid data-adaptive boundaries for a large class of iterative algorithms. Performance measures of many of these algorithms satisfy a one-step recursion that reduces the entire error analysis to a single general requirement: time-uniform concentration for predictably weighted sums of noise. We formalize this through a strongly adapted sub-$ψ$ condition, and derive off-the-shelf boundary constructions via continuous and discrete mixtures, stitching, and product betting martingales. We show how these boundaries can be directly coupled with a separate algorithmic analysis that derives the one-step recursion to provide a class of readymade anytime-valid envelopes across diverse…