A Two-Stage Hybrid Framework for Inferring Air Trips from Mobile Location-based Service (LBS) Data under Incomplete Airport Sightings

Hsuan-Chih Wang, Xianfeng Terry Yang

Mobile device location-based service (LBS) data provide large-scale spatiotemporal observations that can help airport planners understand air travelers' mobility patterns. However, airport sightings are often missing before or after flights, making strictly rule-based detection incomplete. This study develops a two-stage framework to infer U.S. domestic air trips from large-scale LBS data under incomplete airport sightings. Stage 1 uses heuristic rules to identify high-confidence air trips whose endpoints are observed at two distinct airports. Stage 2 addresses latent air trips with a probabilistic model that infers air routes using spatial proximity, temporal compatibility, and historical flight schedule information. Using January 2022 nationwide LBS data with nearly 10 million users and 131 million sightings, results are validated against T-100 Domestic Segment route benchmarks and a Stage 1 pseudo-ground-truth reference set. The framework increases air route coverage from 10.65% under Stage 1 to 50.60% and recovers nearly all top-1,000 benchmark routes. It improves Spearman rank correlation with T-100 route shares from 0.4490 to 0.7630 and reduces Jensen-Shannon divergence…