Brittle by Design? Multi-Scenario Reinforcement Learning for Robust Mission Coordination in Systems of Systems

İbrahim Oğuz Çetinkaya, Sajad Khodadadian, Taylan Topcu

As systems engineering (SE) shifts from monolithic systems to Systems of Systems, Mission Engineering (ME) has emerged as a new line of thinking in SE. Mission environments are uncertain and dynamic, and outcomes depend on how mission assets interact with them, rendering static architectures brittle and calling for flexible yet analytically rigorous ME approaches. We propose an intelligent mission coordination methodology integrating high-fidelity digital mission models with Reinforcement Learning (RL) for adaptive task allocation. Using a Digital Engineering (DE) infrastructure comprising a digital mission model and agent-based simulation, we formulate mission tactics management as a Markov Decision Process and train an RL coordinator with Proximal Policy Optimization to map mission states to tactical actions from realized outcomes. An aerial firefighting mission with three scenarios demonstrates the approach. First, all trained coordinators significantly outperform random and heuristic baselines. Second, single-scenario coordinators can be brittle: the coordinator trained on the more forgiving scenario degrades to random tactics performance in more demanding scenarios, whereas…