S-EDL: Eliciting Self-Evidence from Sequence Likelihoods for Semantic Calibration of LLMs

Yawei Li, Jiazheng Li, David Rügamer, Bernd Bischl, Yulan He +1

Calibrating large language models (LLMs) in open-ended generation is uniquely challenging because many distinct token sequences can express the same underlying meaning. Prior calibration techniques target either fixed-set classification confidence or the binary correctness of individual strings, making them inherently ill-suited for the dynamic, multi-string nature of open-ended semantic outcomes. To bridge this gap, we introduce S-EDL, a novel evidential method that natively optimizes LLMs for semantic calibration. By eliciting evidence from the sequence likelihoods of the model itself, S-EDL constructs a differentiable Dirichlet prior over prompt-specific semantic classes. Optimizing the evidential loss under this prior yields a calibration-aware training signal over variable semantic classes, completely bypassing the need for fixed multiple-choice options. Evaluations across four open-ended benchmarks and three models demonstrate that S-EDL substantially reduces semantic calibration error while improving accuracy. By aligning generative likelihoods with semantic correctness, this work establishes a framework for deploying trustworthy LLMs in complex, open-ended applications.…