Joules-to-GDP: How Much Economic Value Do AI Systems Produce per Unit of Energy?

Amirreza Zeinali, Jon Saad-Falcon, Avanika Narayan, Mersad Abbasi, Jonathan S. Hartley +3

An AI system can produce more economically valuable work while delivering less value for the energy it consumes. We therefore ask: How much economic value does an AI system create per unit of energy consumed? We formalize economic value in two ways: (1) net dollar value, the output's dollar value minus AI-system execution cost, and (2) time saving, the expert's completion time minus the AI system's completion time. Dividing each by measured end-to-end energy yields Net Value per Joule (NVJ) and Time Saving per Joule (TSJ), reported in USD/MJ and hours/MJ. We study 220 public GDPval tasks across 44 occupations, serving five open-weight models locally and evaluating four accelerator types. First, the occupation groups where AI systems succeed most often, deliver the greatest dollar value, or save the most time do not necessarily provide the greatest economic return per joule. For example, among the tested tasks, engineering work delivers about 10% more net dollar value per task than software development. Yet software development delivers about 27% more net value per joule. Second, GLM 5.2 delivers the highest average net dollar value, at $72.27 per task using 0.430 MJ, equivalent…