Conservative Meta-Agent Search: Architecture Adaptation under Non-Stationarity

Ali Atiah Alzahrani

Automated agentic-system design is typically evaluated on static task suites with immediate scalar rewards. Deployed systems face persistent shift, delayed dependent feedback, correlated component failures, and costly architecture changes. We formalize meta-agent architecture search as sequential incumbent replacement with switching costs and hard risk constraints and introduce Conservative Meta-Agent Search (CMAS). CMAS retrieves archived architectures and proposes typed graph edits, then scores each against the incumbent by paired shadow replay under common random numbers, with interventional component credit. Promotion requires an empirically calibrated, variance-penalized simultaneous score above a pre-specified margin, and is followed by a simulated canary stage and pre-specified rollback. Since backtests cannot certify meta-level skill, we introduce MetaInvest-Bench, a regime-switching simulator whose specified worker competence makes a surrogate-optimal architecture computable, with leakage-controlled replay, adversarial governance tracks, and five negative controls. Financial streams serve as a risk-sensitive testbed for meta-level generalization; we claim no alpha.…