Training Autoregressive Language Models on Rounded, Bounded, and Censored Numerical Labels via Exact Likelihood

Jingquan Yan, Yuwei Miao, Junzhou Huang

Numerical labels often specify a set of possible values: a measurement is rounded, a laboratory test reports only a bound, or a program is stopped at a timeout. We introduce boundary marginalization, the first method that trains an autoregressive language model on the exact likelihood of such observations through its existing digit tokens. A fixed-width, order-preserving numeral representation groups consecutive grid values under shared digit prefixes. An interval is a union of such groups, so its exact probability and gradient follow from at most two boundary paths, the successive digit prefixes of its endpoints, each of length logarithmic in the number of grid values. The resulting objective unifies precise, rounded, bounded, and censored supervision and trains digit decisions at the resolution supplied by each observation. The same computation supports exact distributional queries and unbiased gradients for the continuous ranked probability score on exact labels. Experiments show recovery of a conditional distribution from rounded and censored reports alone, improved likelihood on naturally censored molecular measurements, and more accurate code latency distributions on two…