Dynamical State-Space Diffusion for Spatiotemporal Prediction

Woojun Lee, Hankyeol Kim, Pilsung Kang

Diffusion models for temporal prediction typically corrupt each future frame with independent noise, leaving temporal dependence entirely to the denoiser. We propose Dynamical State-Space Diffusion (DSSD), which learns the temporal structure of the corruption process itself. DSSD builds a temporal kernel from the damped oscillatory modes of a stable diagonal state-space model, whose learned decay rates and frequencies let the corruption capture multiple timescales and oscillatory correlations, while the denoiser architecture remains unchanged. Running this model on a finite clip, however, requires the state before the first frame, which is unobserved; starting from a zero state leaves the early frames with less noise than the diffusion schedule prescribes. We avoid this by using the Cholesky factor of the model's stationary covariance as the temporal operator. We prove that this operator is causal, exactly invertible, keeps each frame's noise variance equal to that of standard diffusion, and reduces to the identity at the clean end of the process, and that it is exactly the Kalman innovations form of the state-space model. The denoiser is trained to predict the temporally…