Personalized health coaching via coachable health age and counterfactual wearable trajectories

Simon A. Lee, Zeinab Esmaeilpour, Menglian Zhou, Marius Guerard, Sohrab Sidhu +15

Personalized health coaching requires moving beyond retrospective wearable summaries toward quantitative, actionable behavioral prescriptions. We introduce Coachable Health Age (CHA), an interpretable health-age metric built from modifiable physiological and behavioral signals passively captured by consumer wearables. Across the WEAR-ME (N=2,780), All of Us (N=22,748), and longitudinal Fitbit (N=1,464) cohorts, CHA aligns with established cardiometabolic health constructs and improves prognostic discrimination for incident cardiovascular and metabolic disease beyond age, sex, and body mass index. To enable prospective behavioral optimization, we developed Sensor World Model (SensorWM), an action-conditioned wearable world model pretrained on over 2.2 million person-weeks of longitudinal sensor data from approximately 100,000 participants. SensorWM accurately forecasts multi-week physiological responses to candidate lifestyle changes ($R^2=0.664$), outperforming generic time-series foundation models while preserving downstream clinical signal for diabetes, hypertension, and other health outcomes. Finally, we integrate CHA and SensorWM into an agentic counterfactual coaching system…