FAIR Universe Weak Lensing ML Uncertainty Challenge: Dataset and Cosmological Inference Competition

Biwei Dai, Po-Wen Chang, Erwan Allys, Wahid Bhimji, Boris Bolliet +35

Weak gravitational lensing is a powerful cosmological probe that enables direct mapping of the matter distribution and precise constraints on the fundamental parameters governing structure formation in the universe. In recent years, machine learning has shown strong potential for extracting cosmological information from weak-lensing data beyond traditional summary statistics. However, progress has been limited by the lack of standardized benchmarks that capture the complexity of the dataset, simulator imperfections, and various systematic biases encountered in realistic analyses. To address this gap, we present the FAIR Universe Weak Lensing Machine Learning Uncertainty Challenge, one of the NeurIPS 2025 competitions, as a benchmark dataset and evaluation study. Our dataset reflects realistic weak-lensing observations, incorporating multiple systematic biases, and thereby providing a controlled testbed for robust cosmological inference under uncertainties. We summarize the main methodological advances developed by the winners of our challenge, including data augmentation with conditional optimal transport, an AI-agent-driven approach for parameter inference, ensemble learning,…