Track or Follow? A Jev-Compatible Multi-Agent Trading System When Web News Lags the Market

Yebo Feng, Guangyan Gan, Liangrui Pan, Ruichao Liang, Cong Wu +2

LLM agents increasingly trade on the Web news they read, yet much Web news about listed firms is published after, and about, the price move it reports, so a reader can agree with the market by following it instead of reading the event. We ask whether LLM judgments of Web news track the market's reaction to the reported event or follow it. To answer, we built a multi-agent trading system whose agents share only point-in-time stores and answer typed questions through the interface of Jev, a hosted typed decision model; code sets every position under a proved bound on how far text can move it. In a hash-committed test of a Jev-compatible reader built from a pinned LLM's option probabilities, item judgments track announcement-window abnormal returns (weekly Spearman 0.119), also after the LLM's release, and event types agree with the issuers' 8-K filings (AUC 0.833); Jev's judgments of news published after its own release track the reaction as well (descriptive). Exploratory analyses show where the association comes from: 72% of earnings news items appear after the issuer's filing, contributor-written items often report the price move, and from the first trade after publication the…