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Open problems across fields

  • Dynamic model and policy routing for general-purpose AI1 paper raises it · 1 addresses it

    Balancing performance and computational cost across diverse tasks and modalities is critical for scalable AI systems.

    • Route Anything: A Study of Model and Policy Routing for General-Purpose AI Systemsraises · addresses
  • Cross-repository consistency in coding agents1 paper raises it · 0 address it

    Real-world software development often requires coordinated changes across interdependent repositories, which current agents struggle to maintain.

    • CrossSWE: Benchmarking Cross-Repository Joint Development for Coding Agentsraises
  • Efficient long-video generation with consistent quality1 paper raises it · 1 addresses it

    Real-time streaming video generation demands continuous output without quality degradation or camera drift.

    • Wave Forcing: Towards Speed-of-Light Streaming Video Generationraises · addresses
  • Local decision-making for reasoning compression1 paper raises it · 1 addresses it

    Reducing inference costs without sacrificing accuracy requires models to know when to stop reasoning.

    • Think Less, Locally: Local Preference Learning for Reasoning Compressionraises · addresses
  • Unified taxonomy and coordination for agentic systems1 paper raises it · 1 addresses it

    Fragmented terminology and rapid growth in agentic systems hinder systematic understanding and collaboration.

    • Advances in Agentic Computer Graphicsraises · addresses

Named by an AI from these papers' abstracts.

Rising research topics

  • Speech emotion19+46.2%
  • Databases60.0%
  • Federated learning35−7.9%
  • Algorithmic trading23−8.0%
  • Forecasting time105−11.0%
  • Anomaly detectors23−14.8%
  • Quantum machine learning23−20.7%
  • Robotics150−22.7%
Fields · this week
All fields3214Multimodal381Evals303Frontier LLMs263Inference & serving220Agents216Recursive self improvement211Agents & indirect prompt injection186Neural operators172Computer vision160Robotics150Clinical reasoning147Training & fine-tuning126Forecasting time105Linear bandits79Image & video generation66All 32 fields

Papers

  • arXiv cs.CLSep 30

    Verbalized and Internal Probabilities Are Coupled in Large Language Models

    Sinead Williamson, Jiaxuan Li, Nick Foti, Russ Webb, Masha Fedzechkina

    Large language models carry an internal notion of uncertainty in their sampling distribution, i.e., the probabilities they place on generating one answer rather than another. They can also be asked to state a confidence, in words or as a number: a verbalized uncertainty. Prior work suggests that internal probabilities track relative frequencies in the training data, and that verbalized probabilities track explicit probabilistic assertions in the training data. However, we do not know whether these two readouts are aligned, except when frequencies and probabilistic assertions in the training data happen to align. This limits our understanding of when we can use verbalized uncertainties as a proxy for either training data frequencies, or a model's internal distribution. We resolve this gap by systematically exploring how LLMs probability readouts are impacted by training and in-context data, via intervening on the underlying uncertainty sources in the data. We find that both internal and verbalized probability readouts are impacted by both distributional and asserted uncertainty in the training data. Further, we find that verbalized and internal probabilities are aligned beyond…

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  • arXiv cs.CVSep 30

    Align Then Reason: A Multimodal Lip-Sync Judge for Dubbing

    Rui Liu, Bhavin Jawade, Haoqi Li, Shivam Mehta, Karan Saxena +2

    Dubbing quality control requires a reference-free judge that can determine whether a candidate text line matches a speaker's visible articulation in both content and timing, using only silent video and text because dubbed audio may not yet exist. Existing visual speech recognizers and video-language models are poorly suited to this setting: even when fine-tuned to recover spoken content from lip motion, they remain largely insensitive to temporal errors. We introduce $\textit{Align Then Reason}$ (ATR), a multilingual lip-sync judge that first establishes a monotonic alignment between frame-level lip representations and the phonetic units of the candidate line, then reasons over this alignment to make the final judgment. An alignment scorer provides the LLM with both local evidence for each phonetic unit and a calibrated global alignment score, enabling it to reason jointly about content and timing. On a seven-language benchmark, our method improves mean AUC over the corresponding Qwen3.5 SFT baselines by 59.4%, 50.2%, and 50.8% with 2B, 4B, and 9B reasoners, respectively. The gains generalize across LLM families, reaching mean AUC improvements of 45.9% and 46.6% over the best…

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  • arXiv cs.CLSep 30

    Component and Dimension Sparsity in Transformer Refusal Mechanisms

    Vincent Siu, Glenn Grant-Richards, Vlad Pavlovich, Yizhou Sun, Dawn Song +1

    Activation steering manipulates large language model behavior by intervening on internal activations, but the mechanistic basis of these interventions remains poorly understood. We decompose refusal steering into component-level interventions across four open-weight models, identifying the sparse subsets of attention and MLP components whose steering suffices to reproduce the full behavioral effect. We find that refusal directions concentrate in sparse component mechanisms comprising 28--48\% of upstream components, retaining 88--101\% of steering effectiveness. Within these mechanisms, effective steering further concentrates in approximately 50\% of residual stream dimensions, retaining 85--98\% of the component-mechanism baseline, consistent with a privileged basis structure. Sparsity thus operates at two levels: which components are steered, and which dimensions within those components carry the signal. Together these findings show that refusal is not diffusely encoded across a transformer but assembled by a structured, identifiable mechanism, providing a foundation for mechanistic understanding of how refusal behaviors are represented and steered. To facilitate…

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  • arXiv cs.LGSep 30

    Rotate the Loop: Blockwise Conformality for Looped Transformers

    Alexey Zemtsov, Albina Klepach, Vadim Lomshakov, Andrei Polubarov, Nikita Lyubaykin +3

    Looped transformers reuse one shared block across many recurrent steps, so depth becomes a quantity that can be spent at runtime rather than a stack of distinct layers. Those extra steps help only if a write made on one recurrent step is still readable on later ones, and that depends on the linear map applied to the residual between recurrent steps. We show that whether the loop learns to track state is a geometric question about the form of this map, and we propose blockwise conformal injections: the residual splits into coordinate-aligned groups and rotates inside each one, so every group has its own timescale while the geometry stays exact within it. Our experiments show a performance increase on a demanding form of state tracking - last-token accuracy when the rest of the prefix is already correct - and on language modelling, where a signal written earlier has to be retrieved at the end of the sequence.

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  • arXiv cs.LGSep 30

    On-the-fly Weight Generation: A Hypernetwork Proof of Concept on ARC-1D

    Fabio J. Fehr, Philip Torr

    General-purpose models can adapt to many tasks from context, while specialised models can execute individual functions with less capacity. Yet obtaining such specialists requires task-specific training or adaptation. We ask whether they can instead be generated directly from a few demonstrations. Using ARC-1D as a controlled testbed, we show that individual transformations can be represented by tiny specialist models, and that a hypernetwork can generate their parameters from context. The generated parameters form a structured weight space, while the resulting specialists show partial compositional generalisation and generalisation to transformations not seen during training. In both settings, removing explicit task identifiers improves generalisation beyond the training transformations. Together, these results provide a proof of concept that few-shot task context can be compiled on-the-fly into compact executable model parameters, and that the resulting weight space can support reuse and generalisation beyond known functions.

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  • arXiv eess.SPSep 30

    PI-AMFM: Permutation-Invariant Learning for Variable-Cardinality AM-FM Mode Decomposition in Biomedical Signal Analysis

    Youngsun Kong, Ki H. Chon

    Physiological recordings often contain nonstationary oscillatory components whose number and dynamics vary across signals. Amplitude- and frequency-modulated (AM-FM) representations are well suited to characterizing such dynamics and have shown broad utility in biomedical signal analysis. Recent approaches have incorporated neural networks to learn mode decomposition patterns from data, but component cardinality is often predefined or determined through separate stopping or selection mechanisms. We propose a permutation-invariant neural framework for variable-cardinality AM-FM mode decomposition (PI-AMFM). PI-AMFM combines a multiscale temporal encoder, Mamba backbone, and component-presence estimation, with permutation-invariant Hungarian matching during training. On synthetic AM-FM signals, PI-AMFM achieved lower decomposition, instantaneous-frequency, reconstruction, and mode-count errors than the compared methods while preserving the overall trajectory pattern in a crossing-chirp example. On photoplethysmographic recordings, recovered modes captured cardiac and respiratory dynamics despite training only on synthetic signals. These results support the feasibility of PI-AMFM…

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  • arXiv cs.LGSep 30

    Quantifying the Impact of Ambulance Ramping: A Multi-Year Analysis of Victorian Emergency Medical Services Cases

    Ayesha Tanveer, Khandakar Ahmed, Assefa Teshome, Oyetunde Gbadeyan, Ziad Nehme

    Ambulance ramping, the delay between hospital arrival and patient handover, is a critical operational bottleneck in Emergency Medical Services (EMS), yet its systemic magnitude and dynamics remain inadequately characterised at scale. This paper quantifies the scale, trajectory, and operational correlates of ramping across an entire statewide EMS system, analysing 2,850,575 ambulance attendances in Victoria, Australia from January 2020 to March 2024 using an Exploratory Data Analysis (EDA). After systematic preprocessing, an analytical cohort of 2,026,569 Emergency Department (ED) transports across 59 hospitals with ED and 79 Local Government Areas (LGA) was examined through interval decomposition, Pareto concentration, hourly cross-correlation, hospital arrival concurrency and priority-stratified operational comparisons. Cumulative Ambulance Hours Lost (AHL) totalled 1,491,127 hours, equivalent to approximately 96 ten-hour ambulance shift lost every day of the study window. Ten of 59 hospitals account for 57.8% of lost hours from 50.9% of cases. Annual losses rose 57% to a 2022 peak while transported demand fell 3.7%, indicating deterioration in per-case handover rather than…

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  • arXiv cs.DBSep 30

    TabJoinBench: A Benchmark for Joinable Table Discovery

    Sandipan De, Jin Wang, Vivek Gupta

    Join discovery aims to identify tables from large data repositories that can augment a query table with complementary information, enabling downstream tasks such as data exploration, feature engineering, and business intelligence. Although numerous join discovery methods have been proposed, existing studies rely on method-specific benchmark construction, making reproducible and fair comparison difficult. We present TabJoinBench, a benchmark for evaluating join discovery methods across semantic, relational, and hybrid data lake scenarios. TabJoinBench constructs query-candidate pairs using source-specific validation strategies, systematically introduces structural, representation, and semantic changes through composable perturbations while preserving reliable ground truth. We evaluate representative join discovery methods spanning set-based, feature-based, and learned approaches, together with general-purpose language-model embedding baselines, and publicly release the processed datasets, ground-truth annotations, and generation pipeline to facilitate reproducible evaluation and future research.

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  • arXiv cs.LGSep 30

    Training-Aware Target Coverage for Synthetic Data Selection

    Yang Ba, Michelle V. Mancenido, Rong Pan

    Synthetic data are increasingly used to scale LLM training, yet more synthetic data do not necessarily produce better models. Useful synthetic data must add information relevant to the target task without introducing errors that offset their benefit, and the value of an example can change as the training set grows. We develop a linear theory that characterizes this tradeoff and determines where synthetic data are useful, how much should be added, and the marginal value of adding one example to an existing set. The analysis shows the conditions when input coverage alone is sufficient and when synthetic errors must also be considered. Guided by these results, we introduce \emph{Training-Aware Target Coverage} (TATC), a synthetic data selection method for LLM fine-tuning. TATC identifies candidates whose training effects are beneficial to the target task and selects among them to expand coverage of target-relevant directions not already represented by the available data. Experiments on text and image data verify the linear theory. With mathematical reasoning tasks, TATC selects synthetic solutions for fine-tuning Qwen2.5-Math-1.5B-Instruct and outperforms alternative synthetic-data…

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  • arXiv cs.CVSep 30

    Video Generation Models: A Survey of Post-Training and Alignment

    Chaoyu Li, Xiaoyi Gu, Yogesh Kulkarni, Eun Woo Im, Mohammadmahdi Honarmand +8

    Video generation has rapidly progressed from short, low-quality clips to high-resolution, long-duration sequences with complex spatiotemporal dynamics. Despite strong generative priors learned through large-scale pretraining, pretrained video models often fail to reliably follow human intent, maintain temporal coherence, or satisfy physical and safety constraints. Compared with image and text generation, alignment in video generation presents unique challenges, including error accumulation over time, motion-appearance coupling, multi-objective trade-offs, and limited supervision for temporal properties. These challenges motivate systematic post-training strategies that adapt pretrained models without retraining them from scratch. In this survey, we present the first comprehensive review of post-training and alignment in video generation models. We frame post-training as a unifying framework and distinguish between implicit alignment and explicit alignment based on how alignment signals are enforced. From this perspective, we organize existing approaches into four broad categories: supervised fine-tuning methods, self-training and distillation methods, preference- and reward-based…

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  • arXiv cs.LGSep 30

    Can We Trust This Evaluation? Instance-Level Reliability of LLM-as-a-Judge

    Yang Ba, Michelle V. Mancenido, Rong Pan

    LLM-as-a-judge evaluation commonly aggregates multiple judges' decisions into a majority vote, yet this panel decision process does not guarantee that the evaluation of an individual item is reliable. We propose Structured Cross-fitted Uncertainty Risk (SCUR), a label-free approach for estimating instance-level evaluation reliability based on the judge panel's behavior. A latent measurement model serves as the backbone for measurement system analysis, from which SCUR derives three complementary signals capturing panel uncertainty, measurement cross-entropy, and perturbation sensitivity. These three sources of evidence are combined into a risk score. We evaluate the SCUR approach on five real-world benchmarks using majority-vote error ranking, selective trust, and risk stratification. Furthermore, we show our approach to be more effective at detecting high-consensus risk items, which are the blind spots for many other LLM-as-a-judge evaluation methods.

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  • arXiv cs.CVSep 30

    Paying for Too Many Tokens? Valid and Cost-Efficient Multimodal LLM Annotation with Simple Heuristics

    Zhixi Zhu, Kristina Gligoric

    Vision-Language Models (VLMs) enable video annotation at scale, but costs accumulate quickly: processing a typical 60-second short-form video at one frame per second requires millions of tokens. To reduce costs, researchers rely on heuristics such as sampling a subset of frames, compressing videos into image grids, or using only a single modality. However, it remains unclear which heuristics save cost, and whether they preserve the downstream conclusions these annotations enable. To address this gap, we conduct a systematic evaluation of these heuristics using short-form videos, on two computational social science (CSS) tasks: sentiment and topic classification. We evaluate each configuration along three axes the literature typically treats separately: classification accuracy, validity of downstream inference, and per-video token cost. First, we find that accuracy and validity diverge: the highest-accuracy configuration can produce wrong conclusions. Second, modality value is not guaranteed: text alone can yield strong performance, indicating that adding modalities can add cost without adding signal. Finally, we find that cost can be decoupled from video length when annotating…

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  • arXiv eess.IVSep 30

    Spatially Gated Diffusion for Localized Counterfactual Chest Radiograph Editing

    Kamran Ullah Afaq, Basit Raza

    Editing a chest radiograph requires completing the requested change while preserving unrelated content. We study a latent diffusion editor with an instruction-independent source trajectory and an instruction-conditioned editing trajectory. A learned gate mixes their post-sampler candidates at each executed step, and a separate image-space mask composites the decoded proposal with the source. On 2,400 MIMIC-derived requests, 2,244 outputs met the joint target, preservation, quality, and coverage rubric (93.5%), and target completion was 97.4%. Joint validity exceeded a matched composition-only control by 1.7 percentage points (paired patient-cluster 95% interval, 0.6--2.8). At a fixed learned mask, the learned-gate proposal improved joint validity by 1.6 points (0.8--2.4); at a fixed learned proposal, the learned mask improved it by 2.6 points (1.7--3.5). Across three training seeds, mean joint validity was 93.5% with a 0.3-point sample standard deviation. A blinded 240-request assessment yielded adjudicated joint validity of 93.3% for the full editor and 91.7% for composition only. Protected-region mean absolute error decreased from 0.0190 in the raw proposal to 0.0075 after…

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  • arXiv cs.AISep 30

    Sapien: A Stateful Policy Engine for Autonomous AI Agents

    Corinn Tiffany, Wen Zhang, Eugene Bagdasarian, Lillian Tsai

    Contextual security defenses prevent AI agents from taking rogue actions by synthesizing a task-specific policy and enforcing it on the agent's tool calls. In multi-step tasks, however, which actions are valid often depends on what the agent has already done and learned. We present Sapien, a policy engine for enforcing stateful contextual policies. A Sapien policy specifies permitted tool-call sequences using a regular expression extended with stateful predicates, deferred policy generation, and scoped semantic checks. We show that Sapien stays within a few percent of an unconstrained agent's utility. Even if the agent is fully hijacked, Sapien's policies rule out 93-95% of attacks on AgentDojo and 62-85% on Toolathlon (twice as many as tool allowlists on long-horizon tasks).

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  • arXiv cs.CLSep 30

    Can large language models unlock discrete data in ophthalmic diagnostic reports?

    Umair A. Zaidi, An-Lun Wu, Wei-Chun Lin, Thomas S. Hwang, Michelle R. Hribar

    Objective: To assess the accuracy and efficiency of a large language model (LLM) using two prompt strategies to extract structured data from ophthalmic diagnostic PDF reports. Methods: Twenty deidentified reports across four types (Visual Field, OCT Glaucoma Overview, OCT retinal nerve fiber layer Single Exam, and OCT Thickness Map; n = 5 each) were processed using two GPT-4o-assisted pipelines and compared with a reconciled manual ground truth. Schema-Constrained used Structured Output mode with a predefined JSON Schema; Prompt-Only used a detailed instruction prompt followed by Python conversion to JSON. Outcomes were value accuracy, formatting accuracy, and extraction time. Results: Schema-Constrained value accuracy was 100.00% for Visual Field and RNFL Single Exam, 97.45% for Glaucoma Overview, and 98.00% for Thickness Map; Prompt-Only achieved 100.00% across all four report types. Formatting accuracy was 100.00% for Schema-Constrained across all report types and 100.00% for Prompt-Only except RNFL Single Exam (90.14%). Mean extraction time was 56.51 s per report for manual review versus 5.04 s for Schema-Constrained and 4.70 s for Prompt-Only, an approximately 92% reduction.…

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  • arXiv stat.MLSep 30

    Inference for stochastic differential equations driven by weighted sub-fractional Brownian motion using neural networks and the Euler approximation

    J. H. Ramirez-Gonzalez

    We consider the estimation of drift, diffusion, and noise covariance from discrete observations of stochastic differential equations driven by Gaussian processes. For a fixed observation horizon $T>0$ and a known initial state $x_0\in\mathbb R$, we study \begin{equation*} dX_t=a(X_t)\,dt+σ(X_t)\,dZ_t^{β,f}, \qquad X_0=x_0,\quad 0\leq t\leq T. \end{equation*} \smallskip\noindent Here $a:\mathbb R\to\mathbb R$ is the drift coefficient, $σ:\mathbb R\to(0,\infty)$ is the diffusion coefficient, and $Z^{β,f}$ is a centered Gaussian process from the weighted sub-fractional Brownian family, with covariance \begin{equation*} \operatorname{Cov}(Z_s^{β,f},Z_t^{β,f}) =\int_0^{s\wedge t} f(r)q_β(s-r,t-r)\,dr, \qquad 0\leq s,t\leq T. \end{equation*} \smallskip\noindent Here $s\wedge t=\min\{s,t\}$. The temporal weight $f:[0,T]\to[0,\infty)$ is measurable, bounded, and positive almost everywhere, and $β\in(0,2)$ is the covariance exponent. For $u,v\geq0$, the kernel is $q_β(u,v)=[u^β+v^β-(u+v)^β]/(1-β)$ when $β\ne1$. Its continuous extension at $β=1$ is $q_1(u,v)=(u+v)\log(u+v)-u\log u-v\log v$, with $0\log0=0$. Using the Euler approximation, we reconstruct the Gaussian driving increments from…

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  • arXiv cs.AISep 30

    Enterprise Representation Simplification (ERS): Reducing Representational Complexity for Enterprise AI

    Terry Dorsey, Kevin Huggins

    Enterprise information is represented through artifacts shaped by applications, projects, technologies, organizational boundaries, and local requirements. These structures accumulate over time, creating representational complexity that must be maintained by the enterprise and interpreted by information consumers and AI systems. This paper introduces Enterprise Representation Simplification (ERS) as reducing unnecessary representational complexity while preserving required information within a defined scope, and Enterprise Representation Complexity (ERC), a representation-neutral model for comparing complexity across representation states. ERC characterizes representational extent through four dimensions: Representation Objects, Interactions, Behaviors, and Supporting Sources. Objects, Interactions, and Behaviors form dependent categories, while Supporting Sources characterize representation exposure. ERC is defined at representation and task levels, enabling comparison and distinguishing architectural simplification from retrieval optimization. The paper develops two consequences of ERS. First, representational structures create lifecycle obligations for maintenance, governance,…

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  • arXiv cs.CVSep 30

    VTV-FM: Flow Matching through Variational Terminal-Velocity Closure

    Haoyang Jiang, Yuheng Li, Di Yang, Yanhai Xiong, Haipeng Chen +1

    Flow matching (FM) learns generative transport by fitting continuous-time motion from a simple source distribution to the data distribution. Most existing methods use first-order bridges: once a source and a target sample are paired, the path is a straight motion with constant velocity. FM with optimal transport (OT) improves the pairing, but the bridge itself remains linear, limiting its ability to model curved motion, acceleration, and changing directions. A natural remedy is to use second-order phase-space dynamics; however, learning the bridge requires target-side terminal-velocity information that static datasets do not provide. We propose Variational Terminal-Velocity Flow Matching (VTV-FM), a second-order FM framework that derives the missing velocity by minimizing acceleration energy, yielding a closed-form closure for static data. The same minimum-acceleration variational construction also defines the OT pairing cost and the acceleration targets used for training. Experiments on low-dimensional datasets, PDE-governed physical fields, and CIFAR-10 show that VTV-FM improves transport geometry and generation quality over first-order and high-order FM baselines.

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  • arXiv cs.CLSep 30

    Effective Synthetic Data Curation Requires Group-Level Signals

    Cathy Jiao, Chenyan Xiong

    Synthetic data now is essential to LLM training, used to strengthen advanced capabilities such as autonomous and long-horizon task execution. Yet recent work shows that training on it at scale can degrade model generation, making it important to decide what synthetic data is worth training on. While current data curation practices do so with individual-level signals (i.e., estimates of each data sample's training utility in isolation), across pre-training and post-training settings we show that this is insufficient for synthetic data, and that group-level signals (i.e., estimates of utility that account for interactions among data samples) are necessary for effective data curation. First, we show that individual-level signals are blind to how samples jointly affect training: synthetic datasets with different compositions can be indistinguishable under individual-level influence yet differ sharply under group-level influence, and curating by the latter yields better downstream performance, particularly in generative capability. Second, we find that group-level signals matter more as training pipelines become increasingly synthetic: among widely used data curation methods, only…

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  • arXiv cs.LGSep 30

    Learning Goal-Reaching Quasimetric Geometry From Finite-Time Reachability

    Daisuke Yamada, Travis Pence, Vikas Singh

    In goal-conditioned reinforcement learning (GCRL), quasimetric learning models goal-reaching costs as quasimetric distances, connecting local constraints to global value geometry. Its local constraints, however, should reflect the direction- dependent effects of control composition over a finite horizon together with environmental feasibility. We propose ReQRL, which constrains the critic's value gradients through finite-horizon reachability. Drawing on state-constrained optimal control, we decouple dynamical reachability from boundary geometry, estimating both from data. On OGBench, our method outperforms or rivals existing quasimetric approaches and other offline GCRL methods.

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