Revisiting Simple Baselines for Relational Deep Learning
Relational deep learning has emerged as a powerful paradigm for learning end-to-end predictive models over relational databases by representing them as temporal heterogeneous graphs. Recent advances based on graph neural networks and Transformers have achieved strong performance across diverse domains. However, the effectiveness of simpler relational baselines remains underexplored, making it difficult to assess how much architectural complexity is needed to achieve strong predictive performance. Motivated by the observation that predictive signals arise from target attributes, relational attributes, and historical labels, we revisit how effectively these signals can be exploited using simple propagation methods. We adapt fixed low-pass feature propagation to relational entity graphs and train an MLP for prediction. The resulting predictions are further refined using Correct-and-Smooth, a graph-based label propagation algorithm that incorporates historical labels over task-specific meta-graphs connecting target entities. Across classification and regression tasks on RelBench, an MLP trained on neighborhood-filtered features outperforms one using only target-entity features on…